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Offline while no one likes to be on a losing streak, this loss didn't bother me as much. Great post above... Offline Thank you for a well-written post...and I must say a kind one. I consider myself a realist. The coach was brought in to get us to an NIT/NCAA tournament. If we do not reach that, then we are not successful. If we reach that, we are successful. There are no moral victories and this year we have two effective guards who are seniors, and a strong junior player. This is the fourth year of what Ferry calls rebuilding a program. I don't know what else to say except is that if we don't get to a tournament, then it is simple to say we are not successful. If someone says we are successful without that then the program is even lower than it was a number of years ago. The results of making a tournament or not will speak for themselves...because if we do have a winning program (hopefully), the NCAA/NIT will look at our strength of schedule and RPI and determine if we get chosen. It IS that simple. Last edited by FAM (2/22/2016 1:15 pm) Offline I'm with you FAM; Rosc I have a hard time with "eked out a loss at Dayton", I think I realist would say we fell apart in the last 5 1/2 minutes and stole a loss from the jaws of victory. Frankly that is what I think started this downward spiral. This staff craved a point where we would have an experienced team and the results would take care of themselves. Well we do have a experienced team and despite that we are on a 5 and most likely 6 game losing streak - again just being realistic. So does anyone really think that next year will somehow be even better? Are we really on a program path of improvement? I can't say I see it especially knowing we'll have 2 new starting guards next year and we have no "consistent" scorer up front. If we didn't have the toughness, coaching and discipline to close out games with the experience we have this year how can anyone expect anything better next year???? I hope I'm wrong and the kid sitting out (Tarin Smith) is a Chris Paul clone and one of the freshman is the second coming of Tom Pipkins, but we all heard great things about Castro and we've seen how that has turned out. Anyway I just don't have the confidence to see it otherwise and I'm too long in the tooth to expect something different from this program and the school behind it. Sorry for the lack of optimism, but it is what it is - and it's a Monday (LOL)!!! Offline Great topic and finally getting to the point. I would also consider myself a realist even though at the time many of us where labeled as being totally negative. Forget the fact that much of what we warned or discussed has in fact happened. Offline Well for me this season has been very disappointing, and could be a major disaster depending how they finish the season. The Dukes have lost 5 in a row. Finishing the season 0 - 9 would mean a losing season. If that happens (which now seems probable) then this coach and this team have failed miserably. I do not see how anyone can be satisfied with that level of performance. If anyone wants to put a negative label on me have at it, but unless the Dukes can win at least 2 of the last 4 and at least 1 in the tourney this season would have been a major disappointment. I do not believe in handing out participation trophies. Offline Thanks CLK. Offline FAM, CLK and DOME you hit the proverbial nail on the head. I didn't even know the defensive statistics are that bad, Wow. Someone else said that JF thinks what he did at LIU he can translate to the A-10 and that has clearly not worked so I am in agreement there as well. I don't know what culture, philosophy or whatever you want to call it that JF believes he has installed, but I'm not buying any of it. Just a damn shame is what it boils down to. Not only has this losing streak put this season on the toilet rim, but once again when there were decent home crowds (Davidson and UMass I believe) we poop the bed. I am also very tired of hearing "we are still a good team" despite these loses. Well fella's prove it; don't talk the talk if you can't walk the walk. Offline What happens if Jim Ferry is canned? Do we lose all of our players and recruits and have to start over with the rebuilding process? Offline What happens if Jim Ferry is canned? Do we lose all of our players and recruits and have to start over with the rebuilding process? Ferry is not going to be fired. I believe he has three years left on his contract, and DU can't afford to buy him out. He will get at least two more years. The best hope for this program is for Ferry to start winning. Based on the last 4 years, I honestly do not do know that he can do that unless somehow: 1) He can (or hires someone who can)teach this team to play defense, 2) Recruits better players, 3) run a more disciplined offense not the AAU crap we have seen. Last edited by CLK (2/23/2016 9:54 am) Offline Agreed CLK; the reason Burt is so successful for the ladies is that I believe his strength/reputation is that of a recruiter and he has recruited a quality roster. Dan also brought in a lot of the players for Suzie and he tapped into the Euro market with his wife's connections - smart move. By deduction he must also be a good "manager" as he knew enough to bring in quality assistants to help with the X and O's - or at least that is my assumption. No matter what the ladies record speaks for itself and has for the last several years. So my point is that I do believe the roster for the men has more talent and depth (top to bottom) then we've seen in at least the last 5 to 7 years, so what is the problem? With the horrid defense and inability to close games out I think the majority would attribute this to coaching. So if Ferry isn't going anywhere, another point I agree with, maybe a staff shake up is necessary. My evaluation would be to get/keep the best recruiter or two on staff and then get the best "coaching" assistants you can find as we are certainly lacking in the latter category from Ferry on down. Seems to me they carry 4 assistants so Ferry should be able to at least keep/get a good recruiter and a get a really good X's and O's guy - someone older, but with experience at the DI level. Some former head coaches don't want the stress anymore or don't have the opportunity for a head coaching job given their age or other circumstances, but they love BBall and teaching it. Is the AD listening????? Offline Pete, this is going to strike a nerve with some folks, but I do not think the existing talent is that great on this team (seniors excluded). There is some talent and some potential in the younger guys, but mostly average talent. I do not say this to be critical, but to be honest. I am not going to point out specific players but none are complete players. Look at the individual stats and you will see who struggles from the FT line, who is turnover prone, who can't hit a three point shot to save themselves, who are poor rebounders. Some of this is correctable with better coaching (I think the Bonnies coach is terrific in this regard)but mostly they just are not at the same collective level as the upper teams in the League. You can't have agerage talent, and below average coaching and development skills, and expect the team to somehow ascend to the top of the League. That is why I see one of the keys to Ferry winning (by that I mean getting to the top part of the League) is to recruit better players. Last edited by CLK (2/23/2016 10:52 am) Offline Pete, this is going to strike a nerve with some folks, but I do not think the existing talent is that great on this team (seniors excluded). There is some talent and some potential in the younger guys, but mostly average talent. I do not say this to be critical, but to be honest. I am not going to point out specific players but none are complete players. Look at the individual stats and you will see who struggles from the FT line, who is turnover prone, who can't hit a three point shot to save themselves, who are poor rebounders. Some of this is correctable with better coaching (I think the Bonnies coach is terrific in this regard)but mostly they just are not at the same collective level as the upper teams in the League. You can't have agerage talent, and below average coaching and development skills, and expect the team to somehow ascend to the top of the League. That is why I see one of the keys to Ferry winning (by that I mean getting to the top part of the League) is to recruit better players. CLK - I don't disagree but don't you think the problem is convincing so called better players to come here in the first place? And to do that you have to take what you have and make sure it achieves better than expected results. I agree that's coaching but I don't know anyone that's going to come in here and recruit top players while at the same time being a top flight coach/teacher until a lot changes including overall commitment but also simply winning with the average talent you have. This can't possibly be an attractive job and, in fact, has to be one of the worst jobs in the country - not because Duquesne is not a good place in a good location but because the overall commitment doesn't seem to be truly there except for those remaining fans like us who are committed (or perhaps should be for sticking with the program so long). Offline I did some research on SBU. Offline I hear you CLK and a number of the players do have deficiencies, but still I would say there is workable talent to at least develop. Not the top tier of the league talent, but better than in the past - 1 through 10 on the roster. Of course they have to develop and get better..........Coaching. I think Mulder and Econ's comments are both accurate and painfully poignant. C'mon Dukes, win a couple more games so we have something positive to talk about!!! Offline What happens if Jim Ferry is canned? Do we lose all of our players and recruits and have to start over with the rebuilding process? Ferry is not going to be fired. I believe he has three years left on his contract, and DU can't afford to buy him out. He will get at least two more years. The best hope for this program is for Ferry to start winning. Based on the last 4 years, I honestly do not do know that he can do that unless somehow: 1) He can (or hires someone who can)teach this team to play defense, 2) Recruits better players, 3) run a more disciplined offense not the AAU crap we have seen. Offline CLK. Mulder and Pete. Offline Pete, this is going to strike a nerve with some folks, but I do not think the existing talent is that great on this team (seniors excluded). There is some talent and some potential in the younger guys, but mostly average talent. I do not say this to be critical, but to be honest. I am not going to point out specific players but none are complete players. Look at the individual stats and you will see who struggles from the FT line, who is turnover prone, who can't hit a three point shot to save themselves, who are poor rebounders. Some of this is correctable with better coaching (I think the Bonnies coach is terrific in this regard)but mostly they just are not at the same collective level as the upper teams in the League. You can't have agerage talent, and below average coaching and development skills, and expect the team to somehow ascend to the top of the League. That is why I see one of the keys to Ferry winning (by that I mean getting to the top part of the League) is to recruit better players. Here's the thing....we do have average talent but I think we are a below average college basketball program. I think we are still getting good players for this program. I really like this up coming class. The classes seem to get better and better. I know Sanders and Steel aren't doing much right now but they are freshman. We all love Eric James and Ty Powell too. I do however want to recruit better and better players but as far as this seasons blunders...I put it on the coach...not the lack of talent on the court. Offline Mulder and CS, my point was that I believe that Ferry will be here for at least the next two years, and our best chance as a Program is for him to be successful. Based on his performance to date I have serious doubts that he can coach, motivate, teach or develop players. How can he look people in the eye and say we are better defensively while ranked in defensive statistic among the worst in the nation, and have been under his entire tenure. While others may take the same talent and coach them to play defense or make better decisions or develop their skills, Ferry has given no indication that he can do so. So my point was for him to win he needs to recruit better talent, along with getting someone on his staff who can teach defense and going to a more disciplined offense not the AAU crap we have seen. Offline Very good point CLK....have we taken a look at his staff? Offline For any team, and most sports, it is a combination of talent and coaching. I would say though you could be John Wooden and if you don't have the talent you are not going to go too far. So at the end of the day the balance tips in favor of talent. We've discussed this subject and it seems to me that most participants seem to be fairly in agreement about the talent level and the coaching - or lack thereof. With this post I want to focus on the talent issue as I was mulling this over last night and one thing I wondered about was the A-10 rookie of the week honors (I don't think they do it monthly). I remember when Colter was a freshman he won it several times, although he played a ton due to the quality of the roster at that time. Further, I think we can all agree that JF didn't get the benefit of a full recruiting period that first year. So in theory one could argue that the subsequent recruiting years should yield better talent. If the talent is better then the talent should play. Well, in the next 3 classes after Colter's how many Rookie of the Week awards did we win???? When I look at our juniors, sophomores and current freshman I can't even recollect when we won a Rookie of the Week. If we did it certainly was a rare occurrence, at least as far as I can remember. So CLK's initial take on talent, despite his further explanation as it relates to coaching, may be pretty close to the truth. If the recruited talent was better than year 1, why were Colter and JJ still starting in year 4!!!!! And if the incoming talent was better and better wouldn't the player get more playing time and have the possibility of winning Rookie of the Week??? This is really meant to stimulate the discussion as there are arguments on all sides. What do you guys think? Offline I agree with all the comments made above. Phil - just to be honest, I had been critical of Edgar too. Did not know his situation although that doesn't change my mind. I think he bought into the "they want me to beat Pitt" philosophy which still drives me crazy when I hear alums talk about that like it's the only thing that matters. But I agree that the downward spiral of the program was certainly happening long before he came here. And I recall hearing about Williams but I don't remember when that happened. Offline Pete, I like to deal in data, and not just opinions. Nice job. That is why for me, we either make one of the tournaments or we don't. If we don't, well then Duquesne Men's Basketball is definitely "Groundhog Day". And for those of you who think my next comment is about Ron E. as a person, you are wrong. As a coach, he got us to a couple of tournaments (NIT one year), was let go, and then the new guy says the program was soo bad and he hasn't gotten us anywhere. So, that one coach back then...I actually enjoyed the season. That is why when Ferry tells us how bad the program was I have an issue. Yet I digress. Pete, Your synopsis is well done. We can't say how important rookie of the week is as far as the future but we can see that it is given to a player who performs extremely well. Since no one can remember whether anyone on our team has gotten this more than twice this year (I don't even know if anyone even got it 2 times) then this data you provide is another example of the lack of success and the possible, and I say possible probability that next year will be even worse...and again I think, do I even want to buy my tickets for next year. Groundhog day???????????? Last edited by FAM (2/24/2016 10:57 am) Offline Put this in the other thread but just wanted to throw my opinion in the mix. Offline It all starts with coaching. Someone mentioned John Wooden. Wooden started in his early 20's at HS level coaching Dayton HS, which was 5 and 11 his first year then 11 - 5 his second and never had a losing season again covering HS, college (NAIA first then Div.1) That is 39 win seasons in 40 years. Closer to home, how about John Calipari from Clarion to Pitt asst to Umass to natl champion - he started from nothing. Or, how about the Millers: Sean at X then Archie from asst to Dayton and Elite 8 in 2nd or 3rd season. Or, how about Mike Rice at RMU, who along with Andy Toole had our number for 5 straight years and conference champs. Getting better players sounds good until you run up against the likes of BCS coaches and just about every other A10 coach in your recruiting endeavors. Offline It all starts with coaching. Someone mentioned John Wooden. Wooden started in his early 20's at HS level coaching Dayton HS, which was 5 and 11 his first year then 11 - 5 his second and never had a losing season again covering HS, college (NAIA first then Div.1) That is 39 win seasons in 40 years. Closer to home, how about John Calipari from Clarion to Pitt asst to Umass to natl champion - he started from nothing. Or, how about the Millers: Sean at X then Archie from asst to Dayton and Elite 8 in 2nd or 3rd season. Or, how about Mike Rice at RMU, who along with Andy Toole had our number for 5 straight years and conference champs. Getting better players sounds good until you run up against the likes of BCS coaches and just about every other A10 coach in your recruiting endeavors. Don't think it's fair or relevant to compare Jim Ferry to John Wooden or John Calipari, those are once in a generation coaches. That's like saying why isn't Duquesne as good as that era UCLA or Kentucky now, it's just expecting way too much for where we have been for the last 40 years. Everyone knows Calipari never ran a clean program and cut corners all the way to the Kentucky job, where he doesn't have to anymore. Not saying he's not a great coach but coaching isn't the only thing that's got him to where he is now. Marcus Camby got paid to go to UMASS for christ sakes. Last edited by Duques102 (2/24/2016 3:34 pm)
Program Status
heelsdukesfan wrote:
RI is a tough place to play and despite the roller coaster of a season they are having, is still a talented and well coached team(even if their coach is a nut job)- with EC Matthews, they are likely at the top of the a10 and ranked.
what i liked most about the dukes this game is the effort. after losing 4 games, it would have been very easy for these kids to pack it in early when the got down by 8-10, but they fought back. almost won. thought they played very hard and never gave up.
four tough games to go. winning in olean is never easy, richmond always gives the dukes fits, fordham is a mystery, and st joes is pretty darn good. despite the dukes lack of coaching, i could see these kids willing themselves to win 2 of the last 4. i may have given up on the staff, but def not giving up on these kids. they def showed they are fighters!
Lots of gnashing of the teeth and tearing of cloth regarding the Dukes’ performance over the past few weeks. Quite frankly, the sky isn’t falling any further or faster than it has at any other point of the season. That is both a compliment and a curse. With the exception of the clunker against UMass, the Dukes have beaten just about every team that they should have. Umass was an RPI 200+ team for most of the season, but after beating VCU and the Dukes are now at 173. Still a bad loss, especially blowing a lead at home. The Dukes had only beaten a single top 100 RPI team all year, and the recent losses against Davidson, GW, and Dayton (and URI) probably should have been expected.
The positive is that they did not have the horrendous losses like UMES and St. Francis last year or New Hampshire the year before. Went into conference play with an RPI in the low 100s. Every team has a clunker or two. We avoided that for two months.
The negative is that many took the number of wins against a weak schedule as a sign that the corner had been turned and that the program had reached new heights (10-2!). The negative posters focused on the blowout vs. Pitt, the realists looked at the poor strength of schedule and the lack of bench development, and the optimists looked at wins in absolute terms and thought that the team might be NIT eligible. Relative to decreased expectations, it was certainly improvement. But wasn’t the point that we should be raising and not decreasing our expectations?
So I’m hoping for a win at Bona on Wednesday, though a loss wouldn’t surprise me. Same goes for three of our last four games. I appreciate the players and their effort on the court. This is the same team that beat Penn State and lost to Pepperdine. The same team that eked out a win at St. Francis and eked out a loss at Dayton.
I am no more or less satisfied with the status of the program now than I was in December or than I was with 10 minutes left in the Dayton game. I’m more frustrated at missed opportunities, but the team has played remarkably close to form this year.
Whether or not these results are cause for celebration or consternation is really how we define ourselves as a program.
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Even though we had the two senior guards I didn't see this as the break out season leading to a real tourney (NCAA,NIT), but one of the secondary one's. IMHO the lack of a 3rd scorer was a issue and to my surprise J Jones was filling that role somewhat prior to his injury. But through it all the fact remains it was against lesser competition and that is why I was so adamant in calling out the lack of any real rotation from our bench and over use in particular of our guards.
While many got caught up in the moment and saw grandiose things on the horizon, many of us where reluctant to jump on the band wagon. As I have said many times I would have been very happy to be wrong. My bigger concern is that this years desire to win at all cost has left next year as a huge question mark with guys who should have gotten valuable playing time.
Finally FAM I agree there can only be one measuring stick and that is the one invoked by the man who hired Ferry to get to the post season.
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Just in passing, for all the talk by Ferry on how this team has been much better defensively this year the stats say differently. The Dukes are now 341 (out of 346 teams) in 3 point defense, and 290 in scoring defense. In 4 years Ferry has yet to prove that his teams are capable of playing defense. Draw your own conclusions about the Program future.
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Next 4, Scoring Defense:
Bona..............#163
Richmond.......#243
Fordham.........#111
SJU................#091
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Or can we maintain our roster and just replace the head of the snake?
Also for all that are calling for Ferry's firing, what candidates would you rather see lead this program?
Roll Dukes Roll
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currentstudent wrote:
Or can we maintain our roster and just replace the head of the snake?
Also for all that are calling for Ferry's firing, what candidates would you rather see lead this program?
I do think his next class is a step in the right direction
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CLK wrote:
I know that people will cite dollars spent, statements made by officials, changes at AJP, etc. as evidence of commitment. I'm sorry but I still don't see it. All that being said, I'm not calling on Coach Ferry to be fired. But I do think all that means that it is one hell of a job that is by no means easy and does not present quick solutions. I agree 4 years should bring some progress but when you look at it really there has been some - it's just not as much as we want. Wish I had an answer rather than debating philosophy but this losing streak really is a lot to deal with.
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According to verbal commits.com, they have a 2.222 star average for their players.
Their top 3 players, Adams, Posey and Wright average approx. 37, 37 and 36 minutes per game. These three players account for 53 pt per game. As a team, SBU scores 76, their opps 71.
Key stat their 3 field goal defense is 31%.
DU has a 2.308 star average for our players. DU 3 field goal defense is 40%. DU scores 79, opps score 77.
SBU is 18-7 and 10-4. DU is 15-12 and 5-9.
In my humble opinion, the biggest difference between DU and SBU is coaching.
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CLK wrote:
currentstudent wrote:
Or can we maintain our roster and just replace the head of the snake?
Also for all that are calling for Ferry's firing, what candidates would you rather see lead this program?
I do think his next class is a step in the right direction
Mike looks like he can play the 3.
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I wouldn't usually tell personal knowledge but it is 20 years old, Scott and Elaine Edgar became friends of mine while at Duquesne, about half way through the first season I asked her why they came here. She told me there was a change in the administration at Murry State and even though Scott had 2 NCAA and 2 NIT teams plus an NBA kid ( Popeye Jones) he was kinda urged to look elsewhere. She said when Duquesne opened up many warned Scott that this was a grave yard for Coaches at Duquesne. He had success as asst at Tulane and Arkansas with Nolan Richardson, and mimicked his style of play. My opinion, the current players he got didn't match up well except a sophomore guard who had sat most of his freshman year due to Carrolls dislike for him. Mike James became his star, but recruiting issues, and getting his players to buy in or be able to adapt to his coaching style led to his demise. In fact he was a bad fit but who did BC fit in with?
Scott Edgar never has reached the success of his early years and left damage, but did not cause DAP or Née. This really started when Gary Williams flew out Pittsburgh after that interview and never came back.
A diehard fan since 1961
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CLK wrote:
Roll Dukes Roll
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BTW, Mulder I absolutely agree that more needs to be done by the University in its overall commitment.
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Who do we like and who don't we? I swear there is a guy who is younger than the players that is an assistant.
Roll Dukes Roll
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Before this post I want to stress I am not a Ferry Lover or Hater, just a huge f-ing Dukes basketball fan.This is why I stress the importance of patience and big picture thinking. You can't crucify a guy for not taking a team that has generally been considered a perennial doormat by its peers (sucks but true) to a major post season tourney in 3-4 years, it's not close to realistic. Situations like Schmidt at Bonaventure 5 or so years far exceed the number of times a guy gets a program from 0-60 in just a couple years. We act like people on the A10 board don't commonly list Duquesne as one of the schools that would make the conference better by leaving. So that's where I see the starting point. I also see that things people commonly disliked about the last regime (not being able to recruit size, having some of your best players transferring year after year) as being corrected. Now as far as records, we started this regime with almost nothing talent wise and a bunch of guys in the first class that were recruited in haste as last second resorts while not great records, we have seen 8 wins, then 13 (credit Soko, never would have won that many without him, credit Ferry for being able to get him), then 12, then at least 15 and I'm going to guess 19 with A10 tourney considered. Sorry folks but I see that as gradual improvement. We don't get big time freshman, no one does in this conference. it's about building slowly and realistically. I think recruiting talent has also improved. Jackson, Robinson, Smith, Soko, Mason are all BCS level players in terms of a combination of recruiting rankings or performance respectively. The guys coming in next year also look promising. I don't like Ferry any more or less than Ron, I just want to see long term success. Rome wasn't built in a day, and while I see things I dont like, I can honestly, unbiasedly say there is more, to me, that points to gradual improvement than not.
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Hilltopper wrote: