Duquesne Dukes Fan Forum » Game Thread

PhoenixRising2 · 3/06/2019 12:52 am

8:00pm EST tip on Wednesday 03/06/2019 at the Chaifetz Arena, Saint Louis, MO
Per KenPom:
Dukes #164 (19-10; 10-6; 5th) vs Saint Louis Billikens #132 (18-11; 9-7; 7th) - Atlantic 10 Conference
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 6, 70-64 - Dukes with 29% probability of a win.
Betting line: Dukes are 7½ point underdogs; Over/Under 137½
Duquesne 15-13-1 Against the Spread: Saint Louis 13-16 ATS

First Meeting: Duquesne 77, Saint Louis 73
Dukes Best Win(s): Radford (114); Saint Louis (132); Rhode Island (148)
Dukes Worst Loss(es): La Salle (215); NJIT (176); St. Bonaventure - 2 (124)
Saint Louis Best Win(s): Butler (59); Dayton (61); Seton Hall (62)
Saint Louis Worst Loss(es): Richmond (197); Saint Joseph's (190); Duquesne (164)

Four Factors ==> Effective field goal percentage; Turnover percentage; Offensive rebounding percentage; Free throw rate (shown below if team has Top 100 ranking overall or top 4 in conference as a strength; if team has Bottom 100 ranking or bottom 4 in conference as a weakness)

Here's a look at Saint Louis for the season (national ranking out of 353 teams):
Offensive Strength: Offensive Rebound % (15); FT Rate (20)
Offensive Weakness: Effective FG % (319)
Defensive Strength: Effective FG % (27); Offensive Rebound % (58)
Defensive Weakness: None

Here's a look at Saint Louis in the A-10 (conference ranking out of 14 teams):
Offensive Strength: Offensive Rebound % (1); FT Rate (1)
Offensive Weakness: Effective FG % (12)
Defensive Strength: None
Defensive Weakness: FT Rate (11)

Here's a look at the Dukes for the season (national ranking out of 353 teams):
Offensive Strength: Offensive Rebound % (58); FT Rate (99)
Offensive Weakness: Turnover % (282)
Defensive Strength: Turnover % (24)
Defensive Weakness: Offensive Rebound % (351)

Here's a look at the Dukes in the A-10 (conference ranking out of 14 teams):
Offensive Strength: Offensive Rebound % (4)
Offensive Weakness: None
Defensive Strength: Turnover % (2)
Defensive Weakness: Offensive Rebound % (14)

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions
Saint Louis Adj Offense Efficiency - 101.2; 240 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 104.0; 165 in D-1
Saint Louis Adj Defense Efficiency - 97.2; 50 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 104.0; 183 in D-1
Saint Louis Adj Tempo - 66.4; 235 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 69.2; 89 in D-1

Miscellaneous
Experience - Saint Louis 1.87 yrs; 112 in D-1; Dukes 0.70 yrs; 346 in D-1
Average Height - Saint Louis 76.8"; 166 in D-1; Dukes 75.9"; 302 in D-1

townsonkid · 3/06/2019 8:28 am

Looking over standings and remaining schedules, I dont know what we need to do, but I wouldnt mind playing GMU or Davidson along the way in Brooklyn, esp if that avoids SBU and VCU until the finals.
But, this would be a big win, road win, probably against a post season tourney team, will get us #20, and allow us to finish above SLU regardless of what happens over the weekend.

Davidson hosts SBU tonight, a scoreboard watcher for us, esp if we can get the W in Louie.
Dayton hosts LaSalle, gotta hope for an upset there I guess, long shot.

Last edited by townsonkid (3/06/2019 10:32 am)

FAM · 3/06/2019 9:40 am

According to ESPN -
Duquesne - 22.8% chance of a win
St. Louis - 77.2% chance of a win

luckymcd · 3/06/2019 10:37 am

They have always been kind of a misfit in the conference, and the geographical disparity shows in their home and away records. We've beaten them five in a row at Palumbo, but are 2-7 away the last 10 years. Of course one of those wins was when they were ranked 10th in the country. So anything is possible.

DukefromDC · 3/06/2019 10:41 am

Has anyone hear any update on Sincere? All I saw was twitter interview clip from coach where he said if hes back as healthy as before or even healthier we could make a run at this thing, sounded like he was referencing the A10 tourney.

CLK · 3/06/2019 11:26 am

DukefromDC wrote:
Has anyone hear any update on Sincere? All I saw was twitter interview clip from coach where he said if hes back as healthy as before or even healthier we could make a run at this thing, sounded like he was referencing the A10 tourney.

Here is perhaps the most recent update I saw:

https://triblive.com/sports/duquesnes-sincere-carry-will-decide-when-its-time-to-return-from-knee-surgery-coach-says/

CLK · 3/06/2019 11:28 am

Dukes will win by 10 tonight. Go Dukes!

townsonkid · 3/06/2019 12:09 pm

Sin hasnt played a game in 2.5 weeks, but the surgery was only 8 days ago.
Just win tonight, get #20 in the bag, solidify a top 5 finish in the A10 and let him rest quietly until we unleash him in Brooklyn!!!

Last edited by townsonkid (3/06/2019 12:10 pm)

Duques102 · 3/06/2019 1:46 pm

Carry will return for the A10 tourney, hopefully we can pull out one of these last 2 in the meantime!

NapaDuke · 3/06/2019 2:21 pm

If we win, it's because, we are a slightly different team to prepare for this time, and SL depends too much on two players. So, if coach can shut down those two and SL doesn't quite adapt to our present offense, then we most likely win. I, typically expect, the Dukes will fall behind early by 20 or so, just to build SL's over-confidence, then pull the rug out from under their feet in the last 2 minutes and win by a maybe 2 points.LOL.

PhoenixRising2 · 3/06/2019 3:54 pm

Sin might be back tonight.
The latest:
https://pittsburghsportsnow.com/2019/03/06/will-duquesne-get-sincere-carry-back-tonight/

duq81 · 3/06/2019 5:23 pm

PhoenixRising2 wrote:
Sin might be back tonight.
The latest:
https://pittsburghsportsnow.com/2019/03/06/will-duquesne-get-sincere-carry-back-tonight/

I hope they're not pushing him too hard.

Econ69 · 3/06/2019 5:59 pm

I agree. I would hold him out until the
tournament.
Yes, to beat STL and Dayton would be nice
but an NCAA tournament would be better.

townsonkid · 3/06/2019 8:24 pm

Kelly’s injury made me really sad. That did not look good. He was showing some aggression tonight too. ☹️
Damn!!!!

Last edited by townsonkid (3/06/2019 8:25 pm)

Duques102 · 3/06/2019 8:32 pm

townsonkid wrote:
Kelly’s injury made me really sad. That did not look good. He was showing some aggression tonight too. ☹️
Damn!!!!

Looked really bad.

FAM · 3/06/2019 8:33 pm

Kelly - when you go down when no one touches you, it is never good. Enjoying the line-up with both Sincere and TD. Can't get through the tournament with only Hughes. Do you burn our other big man's red shirt??

lilpav30 · 3/06/2019 8:37 pm

EW finally on fire.

applecorps · 3/06/2019 8:54 pm

Duques102 wrote:
townsonkid wrote:
Kelly’s injury made me really sad. That did not look good. He was showing some aggression tonight too. ☹️
Damn!!!!
Looked really bad.

Can only hope it's not another ACL tear. There wasn't that much apparent stress, but knees are funny things.

townsonkid · 3/06/2019 8:55 pm

TDM WTF?

Their announcers talknso much they just blend in with the crowd noise. 😂

Rayrich · 3/06/2019 8:55 pm

No more depth in the front court. Unfortunate. They should be up bigger in this one. Too many turnovers kept USL hanging around.

CityDuke · 3/06/2019 9:01 pm

We shoot 2 free throws to their 10....Four team fouls on SLU in a half where I could’ve called every third foul I saw and we would have been in the bonus by the 10 minute mark LOL! Interesting...

Prayers up for Kelly. C’mon Dukes!

applecorps · 3/06/2019 9:06 pm

townsonkid wrote:
TDM WTF?

Their announcers talknso much they just blend in with the crowd noise. 😂

The St Louis defender kicked the ball out of bounds, and St Louis got the ball.

Tejas_Duke · 3/06/2019 9:07 pm

Very good effort so far, but I am still sick of our big men missing bunny lay ups. They left 8 points on the floor tonight. At least.

Tejas_Duke · 3/06/2019 9:12 pm

And Duquesne free throw shooting issssssss bbbbbaaaaacccckk…………….

applecorps · 3/06/2019 9:15 pm

Home crowd officiating is a big hurt here too.