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CURRENT RECORD 9 - 14 (4-6 in the A-10)

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2/15/2020 1:18 pm  #1


Tejas Duke's Odds and Predictions for the Final Seven Games!

O Wins:  1%  100-1. The Jekyll/Hyde nature of this team means I can't take this possibility of a complete collapse off the board totally. All of these games and opponents have the potential to be losses.

1-2 Wins: 9%  11-1.  Beat GW and/or Mason at home.  Lose the others.

3-4 Wins:  70%  2.5-1.  Ran all my scenarios and this is what comes out the most.  GW, Mason, Beat Fordham on the road for 3 wins.  Beat Richmond at home for the fourth.

5 Wins:  10% 10-1.  In order to reach this one they have to win a very, very tough road game.  For my prediction, I say they turn the tables on the Bonnies.

6 Wins 8%  12.5 - 1. If they reach this level, then they will be really firing on all cylinders, so give them VCU

7 Wins 1%: 100-1.  Run the table including Dayton.  Long, long, long shot.

Let's Go Dukes
 


Vicimus Atlanticum decem
 

2/16/2020 10:46 am  #2


Re: Tejas Duke's Odds and Predictions for the Final Seven Games!

I'd pretty much agree with your assessment. I'm expecting 4 wins, but hoping for 5. That will put us in good position for the postseason.

 

2/16/2020 12:27 pm  #3


Re: Tejas Duke's Odds and Predictions for the Final Seven Games!

Three wins gets us to the 20 win plateau for the first time under Keith. Four gives us 21 and probably the chance to pick up a win in the tourney on the second day.


Vicimus Atlanticum decem
     Thread Starter
 

2/19/2020 10:36 am  #4


Re: Tejas Duke's Odds and Predictions for the Final Seven Games!

One down! Six to Go

1-win 5%  20-1  Team still could collapse but I doubt it

2 Wins: 10%  10-1  One win at home and losing all the others is a possibility


3-4 Wins:  65% .  1.25 - 1   GW, Mason, Beat Fordham on the road for 3 wins.  Beat Richmond at home for the fourth.

5 Wins:  10% 10-1  .  In order to reach this one they have to win a very, very tough road game.  For my prediction, I say they turn the tables on the Bonnies.

6 Wins 8%  12.5 - 1. If they reach this level, then they will be really firing on all cylinders, so give them VCU

7 Wins 2%: 100-1.  Run the table including Dayton.  Long, long, long shot

Last edited by Tejas_Duke (2/19/2020 10:37 am)


Vicimus Atlanticum decem
     Thread Starter
 

2/29/2020 12:37 am  #5


Re: Tejas Duke's Odds and Predictions for the Final Seven Games!

2-2 in the first four out of the final 7. Won one on the road, they were expected to lose, but played like crap at home against a team they should have beaten.


2 Wins: 5%  20-1  None of these remaining three is a gimme.


3-Wins:  55%  1-2  Win one of the two home games.

4 Wins:  30%  3-1:  Two home games or lose to Richmond at home and beat VCU on the road. They seem to be in free fall,  but that is  tough place to play.

5 Wins:  10%  10-1:  All three are winnable games.






 

Last edited by Tejas_Duke (2/29/2020 12:37 am)


Vicimus Atlanticum decem
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