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I am an analyst by trade and a big numbers guy and recently wanted to get a gauge on freshman seasons to see who were some of our most impactful freshman since TJs class, which was also my freshman year at Duquesne. Here is the stat line for the average Dukes freshman season (average of all 46 freshman seasons) since 2010: Here are the top 15 freshman seasons since 2010 in average points per game. This one jumped out at me--10 out of these 15 players transferred from Duquesne. 3 Guys are still here so that number could end up looking worse. Tough to build a program when you have lost basically all of your top freshman for the last 10 years. Top 10 Freshman in Average Rebounds per game: Last edited by Duques102 (3/31/2021 1:48 pm) Top 10 Freshman in Assists Per Game: Top 10 Freshman A/TO Ratio Since 2010: Top 10 Freshman Steals Per Game: Top 10 Freshman Blocks Per Game: Top 10 Freshman FG% (Not Counting Darius Lewis' 66.70% because he barely played): Thanks for the great information...would you be so kind as to now determine how many scholarships Duquesne has left? Top 10 Freshman 3 PT FG%: Top 10 Freshman FT%: Here's a challenge...which coaches have had the most transfers out of that list and which ones have had the least? Rons Last 2 Years: 8/9 Freshman he brought in ended up transferring- 89% Transfer Rate Couple additional anecdotal thoughts:
CONGRATULATIONS COACH DRU JOYCE III
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Dukes Freshman since 2010
To capture this data and look at it a number of different ways I plotted out each non walk-on’s freshman season since 2010 (46 players total), to get an idea on trends, averages, and build out “comps” or seasons to compare players. Gives a good picture on how last years freshman crop compares to some of the guys we brought in over the last ten years.
Hate to say it but the numbers tell some pretty harrowing details and may help to explain why we have seen the turbulence we have over the past 10 years as it relates to continuity within the program. I will post findings below and make the spreadsheet available for anyone interested in looking at the data themselves.
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
22.3 games played, 7.6 games started, 13.8 minutes/game
4.35 pts, 2.07 rebs, 0.90 asts/game, 0.85 a/to, 0.48 stls, 0.26 blocks
39.38% FG, 25.90% 3FG, 57.46% FT
Not a super impactful player.
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
Eric Williams Jr.--14.30 (Transferred)
Mike Lewis II--14.10 (Transferred)
Derrick Colter--13.50
Sincere Carry--12.10 (Transferred)
Isiaha Mike--11.30 (Transferred)
TJ McConnell--10.80 (Transferred)
Quevyn Winters--9.60 (Transferred)
Chad Baker--9.50
Jeremiah Jones--7.70
Maceo Austin--7.00
Mike Talley--6.90 (Transferred)
Tysean Powell--6.90 (Transferred)
Desmond Ridenour--4.80 (Transferred)
Lamar Norman Jr.--4.80 (Transferred)
Toby Okani--4.70
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
Eric Williams Jr.—8.80 (Transferred)
Isiaha Mike—5.80 (Transferred)
Jeremiah Jones—4.10
Maceo Austin—4.00
Quevyn Winters—3.90 (Transferred)
TJ McConnell—3.80 (Transferred)
Sincere Carry—3.60 (Transferred)
Toby Okani—3.50
Tydus Verhoeven—3.30 (Transferred)
Tysean Powell—3.20 (Transferred)
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
Sincere Carry—5.75 (Transferred)
Derrick Colter—5.20
TJ McConnell—4.38 (Transferred)
Mike Talley—2.38 (Transferred)
Desmond Ridenour—1.97 (Transferred)
Mike Lewis II—1.66 (Transferred)
Eric Williams Jr.—1.59 (Transferred)
Isiaha Mike—1.59 (Transferred)
Maceo Austin—1.55
Chad Baker—1.13
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
Mike Bekelja—2.75
TJ McConnell—2.50 (Transferred)
Spencer Littleson—2.43 (Transferred)
PJ Torres—2.00 (Transferred)
Sincere Carry—1.94 (Transferred)
Mike Talley—1.62 (Transferred)
Derrick Colter—1.44
Desmond Ridenour—1.44 (Transferred)
Josh Steel—1.43 (Transferred)
Chad Baker—1.31
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
TJ McConnell—2.84 (Transferred)
Sincere Carry—2.43 (Transferred)
Eric Williams Jr.—1.34 (Transferred)
Chad Baker—1.00
Desmond Ridenour—0.93 (Transferred)
Toby Okani—0.83
Isiaha Mike—0.81 (Transferred)
Derrick Colter—0.80
Maceo Austin—0.72
Quevyn Winters—0.63 (Transferred)
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
Tydus Verhoeven—2.22 (Transferred)
Chad Baker—0.87
Isiaha Mike—0.84 (Transferred)
Amari Kelly—0.69
Toby Okani—0.61
James Ellis—0.60 (Transferred)
Nakye Sanders—0.57 (Transferred)
Jordan Robinson—0.55
Austin Rotroff—0.53
Tysean Powell—0.52 (Transferred)
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
Nakye Sanders—65.60% (Transferred)
Jordan Robinson—62.50%
Kellon Taylor—62.50% (Transferred)
Tysean Powell—57.90% (Transferred)
Danny Herrera—57.10% (Transferred)
Austin Rotroff—53.80%
Tydus Verhoeven—51.90% (Transferred)
TJ McConnell—49.80% (Transferred)
Mamadou Datt—46.80% (Transferred)
Andre Harris—45.80%
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
(Very sad about all of the transfers - that is a SYSTEMS problem - something has been wrong for a while.)
Here's a challenge...which coaches have had the most transfers out of that list and which ones have had the least?
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
Josh Steel—51.70% (Transferred)
Kellon Taylor—50.00% (Transferred)
Austin Rotroff—42.90%
Chad Baker—41.70%
TJ McConnell—40.20% (Transferred)
Mike Talley—38.90% (Transferred)
Kadeem Pantophlet—38.20% (Transferred)
Quevyn Winters—37.90% (Transferred)
Lamar Norman Jr.—37.70% (Transferred)
Eric Williams Jr.—36.40% (Transferred)
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
Tyson Acuff—100%
Lamar Norman Jr.—90% (Transferred)
Mike Lewis II—83.20% (Transferred)
LG Gill—81.80% (Transferred)
Chad Baker—81.30%
Austin Rotroff—76.90%
Quevyn Winters—74.10% (Transferred)
Eric Williams Jr.—74.00% (Transferred)
Isaiah Watkins—72.70% (Transferred)
Maceo Austin—72.30%
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
FAM wrote:
Ferry 2012-2016: 12/17 Freshman he brought in ended up transferring- 71% Transfer Rate
Dambrot 2017-Now: 11/20 Freshman **SO FAR** have ended up transferring- 55% Transfer Rate
Regarding scholarships, that is a total moving target so no projection there. You have guys that were not on scholarship last year that may or may not be this year, as well as more inevitable outgoings.
My guess is we lose multiple more names and bring in as many. •
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Re: Dukes Freshman since 2010
-Transfers are a major problem for this program, but that rate is trending in the right direction.
-Whether they played more out of necessity or some other reason, it seems Ferry brought in better freshman production (didn't say talent) than Dambrot has to this point. KD has leaned on transfers here, so no big surprise there. All of Dambrots best players (sans Carry) have been upper classmen. This may lend well to the new transfer environment.
-Rotroff's freshman stats and the eye test his freshman year suggests there is a good player in there somewhere. Whether the knee or his confidence from the injury have all but destroyed that potential, we may or may not have the opportunity to find out next year, I was at his first game against what was supposed to be a potential NCAA tournament bound William & Mary who had a good post player, I'm sure many remember that gam for him. First college game stat line in a win:
17 Pts 7 Rebs 1 Block 1 Steal 6-7 Shooting and 3-3 from 3pt. Seems a long way off from that now.....
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