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11/29/2022 9:41 am  #1


Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

7:00pm EST tip on Tuesday 11/29/2022 at the UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, Pittsburgh, PA

Duquesne Virtual Game Program:  https://indd.adobe.com/view/8c5727a4-030e-48ce-85ae-0c6030a428cc

Per KenPom (363 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #120 (5-1) vs University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos #117 (4-1; 3-1 vs. D-1)
Game prediction: Dukes win by 3, 70-67 - Dukes with 61% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=1203

Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #135 vs UCSB #158
Game prediction:  Dukes win by 5, 70.59-65.94
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=5103&tid2=4391&neut=0

Betting line: Dukes are 3½ point favorites; Over/Under 135½
Duquesne 3-3 Against the Spread: UCSB 2-2 ATS

Duquesne Game Notes: https://goduquesne.com/news/2022/11/27/mens-basketball-preview-duquesne-vs-uc-santa-barbara.aspx
UCSB Game Notes: https://www.ucsbgauchos.com/sports/m-baskbl/2022-23/releases/20221129m008p3

Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne:  https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/2023.html
UCSB:  https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/california-santa-barbara/2023.html

Dukes KenPom Best Wins: Colgate (107); Montana (215); North Florida (223)
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses: Kentucky (4)
UCSB KenPom Best Wins: Fresno St. (136); North Alabama (328)
UCSB KenPom Worst Losses: Northern Arizona (256)

Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point:  Offense 38.0%, 45 in D-1; Defense 41.2%, 351 in D-1
UCSB 3 Point:  Offense 35.7%, 94 in D-1; Defense 34.8%, 224 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point:  Offense 52.6%, 91 in D-1; Defense 42.7%, 30 in D-1
UCSB 2 Point:  Offense 49.3%, 183 in D-1; Defense 48.3%, 153 in D-1
Dukes FT:  Offense 63.2%, 319 in D-1; Defense 70.8%, 205 in D-1
UCSB FT:  Offense 73.8%, 94 in D-1; Defense 67.2%, 95 in D-1

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
UCSB Adj Offense Efficiency - 104.6; 109 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 102.3; 186 in D-1
UCSB Adj Defense Efficiency - 99.5; 131 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 106.9; 72 in D-1
UCSB Adj Tempo - 65.6; 288 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 66.7; 243 in D-1

Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
D-1 Experience - UCSB 2.56 yrs; 63 in D-1; Dukes 2.04 yrs; 147 in D-1
Average Height - UCSB 78.0"; 60 in D-1; Dukes 76.5"; 273 in D-1

Last edited by PhoenixRising2 (11/29/2022 5:18 pm)

 

11/29/2022 11:47 am  #3


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Phoenix, does KenPom give a prediction on the rest of the season?  I see that RealTimeRPI has the Dukes winning out in the non-conference games then going 9-9 in the A-10, winning all home games and losing all road games to finish 21-10.  I'm hoping for better than that.
http://www.realtimerpi.com/rpi_111_Men.html

 

11/29/2022 12:00 pm  #4


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Coach said Barre is a ways away from playing, and I was under the impression it was due to injury because he would not participate in warmups before games. In the team's post on Twitter yesterday he is featured in two pictures looking to be participating in full contact scrimmage. Maybe we will see him tonight? I have not seen him play so I am not sure how raw or acclimated he will be to the college game, if we choose to redshirt him for development I would have no problem with that either.

https://twitter.com/DuqMBB/status/1597263994112577537

 

11/29/2022 12:18 pm  #5


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

VBC wrote:

Phoenix, does KenPom give a prediction on the rest of the season?  I see that RealTimeRPI has the Dukes winning out in the non-conference games then going 9-9 in the A-10, winning all home games and losing all road games to finish 21-10.  I'm hoping for better than that.
http://www.realtimerpi.com/rpi_111_Men.html

VBC, KenPom has the Dukes projected at 19-12; 10-8 in the conference.  But, looking at each individual game by game, KenPom currently has the Dukes favored to win in all of their remaining non-conference games and 13 conference games (only underdogs at Dayton by 9, at Richmond by 7, at St. Bonaventure by 4, at UMass by 3 and at Saint Louis by 10).

     Thread Starter
 

11/29/2022 12:53 pm  #6


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

PhoenixRising2 wrote:

VBC wrote:

Phoenix, does KenPom give a prediction on the rest of the season?  I see that RealTimeRPI has the Dukes winning out in the non-conference games then going 9-9 in the A-10, winning all home games and losing all road games to finish 21-10.  I'm hoping for better than that.
http://www.realtimerpi.com/rpi_111_Men.html

VBC, KenPom has the Dukes projected at 19-12; 10-8 in the conference.  But, looking at each individual game by game, KenPom currently has the Dukes favored to win in all of their remaining non-conference games and 13 conference games (only underdogs at Dayton by 9, at Richmond by 7, at St. Bonaventure by 4, at UMass by 3 and at Saint Louis by 10).

Thanks, Phoenix.  There will be no complaints from me if Ken's individual game predictions are correct resulting in a 25-6 record heading into the conference tournament. 
 

 

11/29/2022 1:02 pm  #7


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

No mention of Easley in Rothstein's tweet either. Usually when Dambrot mentioned having two out from injury  he would say "Two injuries and a suspension". Hopefully he is out of the doghouse, he just needs a to hit a couple threes and a transition dunk or two and he'll have his confidence back although I'm not fully convinced he'll stop bricking pull-up jumpers.

 

11/29/2022 2:33 pm  #8


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

There are three key players we have to contain in my opinion after looking at some stats.

#13 Ajay Mitchell, their point guard, leads the team in ppg(15.2) and apg(6.2). He's 6'5 so it will be a tough matchup for the guards. Nothing Tre Clark can't handle.

#2 Andre Kelly averages a double-double(10.8 and 10) and will be a force down low at 6'9

#5 Miles Norris is another forward, averaging 12 pts and 7.4 rebounds a game. 6'10.

This will be a real challenge down low as we are going to have to deal with experienced and tall bigs. Both Kelly and Norris are seniors.


 

 

11/29/2022 4:54 pm  #9


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

I was checking out the Gaucho's forum and they mention Josh Pierre-Louis as the defensive specialist that will try to shut Grant down so keep an eye out for that even though Mitchell has the impressive stat of 2.4 steals per game as well. There is also an extremely comprehensive preview of the game from user "GauchoDan" that ranges from arena information to in-depth statistics with national rankings.

Check it out:
https://www.tapatalk.com/groups/ucsbgauchos/ucsb-at-duquesne-t25731.html

 

11/29/2022 5:14 pm  #10


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

BluffHunter wrote:

I was checking out the Gaucho's forum and they mention Josh Pierre-Louis as the defensive specialist that will try to shut Grant down so keep an eye out for that even though Mitchell has the impressive stat of 2.4 steals per game as well. There is also an extremely comprehensive preview of the game from user "GauchoDan" that ranges from arena information to in-depth statistics with national rankings.

Check it out:
https://www.tapatalk.com/groups/ucsbgauchos/ucsb-at-duquesne-t25731.html

BluffHunter, thanks for all of the research.

     Thread Starter
 

11/29/2022 5:31 pm  #11


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

PhoenixRising2 wrote:

BluffHunter wrote:

I was checking out the Gaucho's forum and they mention Josh Pierre-Louis as the defensive specialist that will try to shut Grant down so keep an eye out for that even though Mitchell has the impressive stat of 2.4 steals per game as well. There is also an extremely comprehensive preview of the game from user "GauchoDan" that ranges from arena information to in-depth statistics with national rankings.

Check it out:
https://www.tapatalk.com/groups/ucsbgauchos/ucsb-at-duquesne-t25731.html

BluffHunter, thanks for all of the research.

No problem! I enjoy doing my own research and share anything I find here! There are a couple highlight videos of UCSB's games this season so far online too.

Vs. San Francisco State:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NZIH8O0GFA

Last week vs. North Alabama:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YhOykAf_1yE

 

11/29/2022 6:09 pm  #12


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Just a gut feeling, but I think Clark is going to have a good one tonight. Get em Dukes!

 

11/29/2022 7:49 pm  #13


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Ok.   Good half, not great, but good.  Clark needs to stop the early fouls.   

Radio broadcast still a mess online. 
Who is producing this game for the espn feed?   Switching views while the ball is being shot is not good.   

Work the ball low, i think their bigs will hack themselves out of the game.  Cherish the ball, no turnovers.

 

11/29/2022 8:02 pm  #14


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Let's have a good 2nd half. No repeat of Colgate.

 

11/29/2022 8:43 pm  #15


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Big shot by Brewer,

 

11/29/2022 8:58 pm  #16


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Seems like Dixon was okay.  He was in late game huddles. 
Cannot lose him!

Good win!!!    Equalled win total of last year, and its still November!  😁

Last edited by townsonkid (11/29/2022 8:58 pm)

 

11/29/2022 8:58 pm  #17


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Another fine team effort and another great game by Dae Dae Grant.

 

11/29/2022 9:02 pm  #18


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Rayrich wrote:

Just a gut feeling, but I think Clark is going to have a good one tonight. Get em Dukes!

Had his worst game and still win by 11. Good sign

 

11/29/2022 9:25 pm  #19


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Grant is a guy to guy that they have not had in an awful long time. I'm thinking the transfer from Notre Dame. He plays defense also.

 

11/29/2022 9:36 pm  #20


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Dixon continues to impress. He is getting better each game. Reece better get better quickly as Dixon may just take away starting role at this pace. Actually it is great to have Reece, Dixon, Rotroff and Williams in the 4/5 rotation. Honestly can't remember when we had such depth at those positions.


Go Dukes

 

Last edited by CLK (11/30/2022 12:07 pm)

 

11/29/2022 9:56 pm  #21


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

CLK wrote:

Dixon continues to impress. He is getting better each game. Reece better get better quickly as Dixon may just take away starting role at this pace. Actually it is great to have Reece, Dixon, Rotroff and Williams in the 4/5 rotation. Honestly can't remember when we had such death at those positions.


Go Dukes

You mean depth not the grim reaper 😂

What I get for typing on my phone https://cdn.boardhost.com/emoticons2/big-grin.png

Last edited by CLK (11/30/2022 12:11 pm)

 

11/29/2022 10:00 pm  #22


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

I know it's sort of blasphemy to even say this, but I swear that Dae Dae looked like Steph Curry on some of his threes tonight.  Also, the play where he drove and made that absurd pass to Brewer who drained the three was ::Chef's Kiss::

 


"You have to be realistic about these things."  - Logen Ninefingers
 

11/29/2022 10:09 pm  #23


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Rayrich wrote:

Rayrich wrote:

Just a gut feeling, but I think Clark is going to have a good one tonight. Get em Dukes!

Had his worst game and still win by 11. Good sign

He only played around 16 minutes and still had the second best +/- to Grant

Last edited by BluffHunter (11/29/2022 10:30 pm)

 

11/29/2022 10:10 pm  #24


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

That Pierre-Louis could jump out of his shoes. Great work from the guys competing against some former Power 5 players.

 

11/29/2022 10:25 pm  #25


Re: Game Thread - University of California Santa Barbara Gauchos

BluffHunter wrote:

That Pierre-Louis could jump out of his shoes. Great work from the guys competing against some former Power 5 players.

I was just about to comment on his performance.  That kid was great.
 


Habemus victus Richmond, et Bonnies et Dayton.
Nunc vincere Atlanticum 10
 

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