Duquesne Dukes Fan Forum » Game Thread

PhoenixRising2 · 11/14/2023 3:48 pm

7:00pm EST tip on Wednesday 11/15/2023 at the UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, Pittsburgh, PA

Betting line: Dukes are 4½ point favorites; Over/Under 146
Duquesne 2-1 Against the Spread: Princeton 2-0 ATS

Per KenPom (362 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #77 (3-0) vs Princeton Tigers #92 (2-0)
Game prediction: Dukes win by 5, 75-70 - Dukes with 67% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=594
Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #97 vs Princeton #78
Game prediction: Dukes win by 2, 73.06-71.30
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=349&tid2=4391&neut=0
Per BartTorvik:
Dukes #55 vs Princeton #117
Game prediction: Dukes win by 9, 79-70 - Dukes with a 79% probability of a win.
https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Duquesne&year=2024
Duquesne Preview: https://goduquesne.com/news/2023/11/14/mens-basketball-marquee-midweek-matchup-set-for-wednesday.aspx Duquesne Game Notes: https://s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sidearm.nextgen.sites/goduquesne.com/documents/2023/11/14/04_Princeton.pdf Princeton Game Notes: https://goprincetontigers.com/documents/2023/11/14/2023-24_MBB_Game_Notes_vs_Duquesne.pdf

Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/men/2024.html Princeton: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/princeton/men/2024.html
Dukes KenPom Best Wins: College of Charleston (136); Cleveland St. (149)
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses:
Princeton KenPom Best Wins: Rutgers (72); Hofstra (138)
Princeton KenPom Worst Losses:

Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point: Offense 37.1%, 91 in D-1; Defense 36.8%, 270 in D-1
Princeton 3 Point: Offense 38.9%, 58 in D-1; Defense 31.6%, 164 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point: Offense 55.8%, 96 in D-1; Defense 40.2%, 33 in D-1
Princeton 2 Point: Offense 48.3%, 201 in D-1; Defense 46.9%, 126 in D-1
Dukes FT: Offense 68.4%, 193 in D-1; Defense 62.3%, 69 in D-1
Princeton FT: Offense 75.0%, 87 in D-1; Defense 88.9%, 351 in D-1

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
Princeton Adj Offense Efficiency - 107.3; 75 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 99.0; 97 in D-1
Princeton Adj Defense Efficiency - 100.2; 118 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 108.2; 63 in D-1
Princeton Adj Tempo - 66.9; 338 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 72.5; 91 in D-1

Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
Experience - Princeton 1.40 yrs; 254 in D-1; Dukes 2.84 yrs; 19 in D-1
Average Height - Princeton 76.3"; 302 in D-1; Dukes 76.2"; 313 in D-1

Last edited by PhoenixRising2 (11/15/2023 8:53 am)

DuqLaw95 · 11/14/2023 4:02 pm

Haslametrics is pretty down on the Dukes. Interestingly they have us winning =16px 72.47 to 71.59.
I assume that's the home court advantage factoring in. Go Dukes!

DukesDan · 11/14/2023 6:48 pm

Seems like a bellwether game. We have already been in some battles so they should be mentally prepared for another competitive game. Hope there is a good crowd!

WashPaRick · 11/14/2023 7:23 pm

They got a 6'7" kid averaging 15 boards a game.

townsonkid · 11/15/2023 9:38 am

Should be a good matchup, Drame twins activate! Need both of them tonight. Need Clark's best defensive efforts too.

PhoenixRising2 · 11/15/2023 9:58 am

Princeton’s starters are all averaging over 30 minutes per game. They don’t rely on their bench very much at all. The Dukes depth should allow them to pressure Princeton for the entire game. I also expect Savrasov will help neutralize #3, Caden Pierce, their 6’7” forward rebounding machine.

gjgsr · 11/15/2023 10:47 am

Not only is Pierce a rebounding machine with 15 against Hofstra last week, he scored 26 points at a 50% efficiency rate! The Dukes will need to guard effectively against the 3 point (since all of the Tigers are deadly shooters). I think the key, since they essentially use only 6 players -- is to press and tire them out if that is possible. We use 10-11 players, so that should not be a problem.

However, they are all definitely good athletes. It won't be easy. I watched some of their games -- at Rutgers and at Hofstra - and they are like a machine. Grinding it in, kicking it outside and then shooting from the perimeter, sometimes even further.

Last edited by gjgsr (11/15/2023 10:50 am)

DuqLaw95 · 11/15/2023 11:04 am

Does anyone know if this game is on Sportsnet Pittsburgh or just on ESPN+?

PhoenixRising2 · 11/15/2023 11:35 am

DuqLaw95 wrote:
Does anyone know if this game is on Sportsnet Pittsburgh or just on ESPN+?

The game will be broadcast on both Sportsnet Pittsburgh and ESPN+.

stew · 11/15/2023 12:50 pm

This is a must win game.Instead of watching the game on TV come cheer the Dukes.Duquesne needs that home court advantage.Princeton is one of the best teams Dukes will play all year.

FAM · 11/15/2023 1:15 pm

Hope you will be leading the students Stew!

WashPaRick · 11/15/2023 6:46 pm

Should be a good one tonight. Let's get after them for 40 minutes.

WashPaRick · 11/15/2023 7:33 pm

Ouch.

1111 Vickroy · 11/15/2023 7:55 pm

No inside game. Do we have a single basket in the paint other than a drive by Clark?
Princeton's passing game is a work of art.

1111 Vickroy · 11/15/2023 7:59 pm

And btw, cannon n Benz blow big time. I thought they were The Princeton play by play team. I had to turn the volume off. 2 absolute blowhards.

KenOTR73 · 11/15/2023 8:01 pm

1111 Vickroy wrote:
No inside game. Do we have a single basket in the paint other than a drive by Clark?
Princeton's passing game is a work of art.

obviously we didn't practice against a zone.1-3-1.
No scholarships. No NIL money.

townsonkid · 11/15/2023 8:03 pm

What magic can Dambrot sprinkle on them this halftime? The slightest Dukes mistake is taken advantage of by Princeton.

KenOTR73 · 11/15/2023 8:06 pm

Stew's response was much less energetic.

WashPaRick · 11/15/2023 8:07 pm

Got their work cut out for them.

townsonkid · 11/15/2023 8:34 pm

Cant shoot, cant win. Cant comeback against that team. They wont screw up.

Need an 8 minute blitz.

Last edited by townsonkid (11/15/2023 8:37 pm)

Wildwood13 · 11/15/2023 9:02 pm

After a timeout, is that the best play the Dukes could come up with at the 30 second mark ?

WashPaRick · 11/15/2023 9:10 pm

Thought we had it.

1111 Vickroy · 11/15/2023 9:10 pm

Clark laid a huge egg to say the least.

townsonkid · 11/15/2023 9:16 pm

Damn. Good effort to make it close. Drame needs to make that shot for the win. Woulda created some excitement with a comeback win with nothing else going on in town, but instead people will think same old Dikes. 😤

1111 Vickroy · 11/15/2023 9:18 pm

Very little going on inside, bigs missed too many free throws. This one hurts

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DuqLaw95 wrote:

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1111 Vickroy wrote:

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