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3/14/2024 9:07 am  #1


Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

7:30pm EDT tip on Thursday 3/14/2024 at the Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY

Betting line: Dukes are 6½ point underdogs; Over/Under 146½
Duquesne 15-16 Against the Spread: Dayton 15-14-1 ATS

NET Ranking:  Dukes 97; Dayton 21

Per KenPom (362 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #98 (21-11; 10-8 A10) vs Dayton #27 (24-6; 14-4 A10)
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 6, 72-66 - Dukes with 27% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=6051
Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #98 vs Dayton #28
Game prediction:  Dukes lose by 7, 71.52-64.21
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=4391&tid2=4359&neut=1
Per BartTorvik:
Dukes #93 vs Dayton #35
Game prediction:  Dukes lose by 5, 70-65 - Dukes with a 30% probability of a win.
https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Duquesne&year=2024
Duquesne Preview:  Duquesne Game Notes:  Dayton Game Notes: https://daytonflyers.com/news/2024/3/13/mens-basketball-mens-basketball-heads-to-brooklyn-for-atlantic-0-mens-basketball-championship.aspx

Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne:https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/men/2024.html Dayton:https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/dayton/men/2024.html
Dukes KenPom Best Wins: Bradley (66); UC Irvine (73); VCU (86); George Mason (95); St.Bonaventure-2 (96); College of Charleston (100); Saint Joseph's (103); Stony Brook (171); Cleveland St. (188) 
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses: Fordham (190); Davidson (122); Santa Clara (110); Saint Joseph's (103); Loyola Chicago (93); UMass (84); Richmond (81); Princeton (57)

Dayton KenPom Best Wins: St. John's (29); Cincinnati (33); SMU (64); UMass (84); VCU (86); LSU (91); St. Bonaventure (96); Duquesne-2 (98)  
Dayton KenPom Worst Losses: George Mason (95); Loyola Chicago (93); VCU (86); Richmond (81); Northwestern (41); Houston (1)

Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point:  Offense 33.6%, 195 in D-1; Defense 32.5%, 97 in D-1
Dayton 3 Point:  Offense 40.7%, 3 in D-1; Defense 31.7%, 53 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point:  Offense 50.1%, 188 in D-1; Defense 48.4%, 92 in D-1
Dayton 2 Point:  Offense 54.2%, 46 in D-1; Defense 48.2%, 82 in D-1
Dukes FT:  Offense 71.1%, 222 in D-1; Defense 70.2%, 85 in D-1
Dayton FT:  Offense 73.5%, 114 in D-1; Defense 73.2%, 261 in D-1

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
Dayton Adj Offense Efficiency - 119.6; 16 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 99.6; 44 in D-1
Dayton Adj Defense Efficiency - 101.5; 80 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 107.4; 163 in D-1
Dayton Adj Tempo - 64.3; 338 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 66.6; 244 in D-1

Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
Experience - Dayton 2.41 yrs; 73 in D-1; Dukes 2.56 yrs; 46 in D-1
Average Height - Dayton 76.9"; 212 in D-1; Dukes 76.5"; 287 in D-1

 

3/14/2024 9:13 am  #2


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

 

3/14/2024 10:35 am  #3


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Stay loose, take the open shots, play defense and we win. Go Dukes.

 

3/14/2024 2:50 pm  #4


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Staying loose is a huge point. These guys have what it takes but can’t let the moment get to them. It will be hard because I’m just a fan and I’ve been feeling nerves all day/night!

 

3/14/2024 2:51 pm  #5


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

If they are good enough, and make fewer mistakes, they will win.  If not...it's been a positive year.  Good Luck Dukes - play well!

 

3/14/2024 3:25 pm  #6


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

 

3/14/2024 5:20 pm  #7


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Per Dayton board their PG Bennett is possibly out for tonight. We're definitely on a roll.
 

 

3/14/2024 5:49 pm  #8


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

MikeR wrote:

Per Dayton board their PG Bennett is possibly out for tonight. We're definitely on a roll.
 

I thought coach Dru said after last night's game that Bennett was going to be back tonight.

 

3/14/2024 6:37 pm  #9


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Second overtime for the Bonnies and Loyola.

 

3/14/2024 6:58 pm  #10


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Let's make it 4 for 4 with the underdogs today.

 

3/14/2024 6:58 pm  #11


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Excepting the Flyers, every fanbase in the conference should be rooting for the Dukes tonight in order to get 2 A10 teams into the tournament (and the extra dollars associated with the NCAA shares).

     Thread Starter
 

3/14/2024 7:02 pm  #12


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

WashPaRick wrote:

MikeR wrote:

Per Dayton board their PG Bennett is possibly out for tonight. We're definitely on a roll.
 

I thought coach Dru said after last night's game that Bennett was going to be back tonight.

He is playing.
 

 

3/14/2024 7:16 pm  #13


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Not a comment on officiating, but Dayton outscored us 31-5 at the foul line in the first 2 games combined. Something to watch. We need to be able to play D without too many fouls.

Last edited by MikeR (3/14/2024 7:18 pm)

 

3/14/2024 7:30 pm  #14


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Three possession, two travels. Come on, man. 

 

3/14/2024 7:37 pm  #15


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

I can’t believe they called a foul on that. 

 

3/14/2024 7:43 pm  #16


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Two garbage calls on Dixon.

 

3/14/2024 8:07 pm  #17


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

CityDuke wrote:

Two garbage calls on Dixon.

Man this is some one sided refereeing. Dukes got to beat 8 guys. Like how Dambrot is getting the refs faces early

 

3/14/2024 8:16 pm  #18


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Was hoping to be up more than 2 at the half considering how we started,
.

 

3/14/2024 8:17 pm  #19


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

13 free throws to 4. 10 fouls to 5. Dixon, Barre, and Hronsky all with 2. Free throws keeping the Flyers in striking distance.

We did a great job on Holmes in that half. We should be up by more, but a very good defensive performance that half. Need to take better care of the ball.

 

3/14/2024 8:18 pm  #20


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Clean up the turnovers and we're in good shape.

 

3/14/2024 8:24 pm  #21


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

That second one on Dixon really hurt. He's our quickest big and guaranteed Holmes will be getting the ball deep more often in the second half.


WE ARE CREEPING UP TO THE SECOND FLOOR....
 

3/14/2024 8:48 pm  #22


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Dae Dae has got to step up

 

3/14/2024 8:56 pm  #23


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

Wow Tre, make a layup. 

 

3/14/2024 8:58 pm  #24


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

We have held Holmes to 3 field goals…he has 17 points.

 

3/14/2024 8:59 pm  #25


Re: Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

DuqLaw95 wrote:

Wow Tre, make a layup. 

He and Mahorcic both not finishing.

 

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