Welcome to SHOO-SHOO, RAH-RAH! The Duquesne Dukes Basketball Fan Message Board!
One of America's Great Message Boards - Any Inappropriate Posts Will Be Deleted!
Offline OK, 17 posters have gone on the record: I am currently offering 1 million to 1 against the Dukes beating El Duque's prediction. Offline CLK - 17 wins Offline CLK - 17 wins Last edited by Tejas_Duke (1/26/2016 10:01 pm) Offline Tejas technically the Seton Hill game doesn't count since it's a non D1 opponent. Our record is 13-7. 😧😧😧 Offline Tejas technically the Seton Hill game doesn't count since it's a non D1 opponent. Our record is 13-7. 😧😧😧 It says 14 on the web site. That is what I am going by :-) Offline Tejas technically the Seton Hill game doesn't count since it's a non D1 opponent. Our record is 13-7. 😧😧😧 It says 14 on the web site. That is what I am going by :-) Doesn't count for rpi. Counts as a regular season game however. Win total is officially 14. Offline Thanks WEB for clearing that up. And I agree with your post. Offline Updated Probabilities after the LaSalle game Last edited by Tejas_Duke (1/27/2016 3:11 pm) Offline CLK - 17 wins Offline TD: Last edited by grammudder (1/31/2016 1:20 am) Offline TD: Offline Tejas, maybe I should have taken you up on your odds. Offline Tejas, maybe I should have taken you up on your odds. Yeah I don't think any of us dreamed it would be this bad, at this point! Can't believe that after that start, they just pissed away three games that should have been wins, in addition to losing a few that, only the most pie in the sky fans would have predicted. Sad, really sad. Offline Tejas, maybe I should have taken you up on your odds. Yeah I don't think any of us dreamed it would be this bad, at this point! Can't believe that after that start, they just pissed away three games that should have been wins, in addition to losing a few that, only the most pie in the sky fans would have predicted. Sad, really sad. Tejas, I want to change my 17 win prediction to 16 unless the pools are closed... Offline CLK - 17 wins
SEE INFORMATION UNDER MEN'S BASKETBALL BELOW:
COACH DRU HAS NOW FILLED ALL OF HIS COACHING POSITIONS
BRONNY JAMES REMAINS IN THE NBA DRAFT
Re: Get on the record
CLK wrote:
CLK - 17 wins
duq81 - 18 wins
WEB - 18 wins
rogabee - 16 wins
FAM - 15 wins
El Duque - 10 wins
Applecorps - 18 wins
Grammudder - 18 wins
scduke - 18 wins
Econ69 - 14 wins
WashPaRick - 15 wins
Simms - 16 wins
Dome - 13 wins
SteelCityVoice - 19 wins
VBC - 20 wins
duqkurt - 13 wins
rosceaux - 17 wins
The predictions range from 20 wins to 10 wins. The average of the group is 16 wins. . Based on this anything less than 16 wins would not meet general expectations.
Vicimus Atlanticum decem
Re: Get on the record
duq81 - 18 wins
WEB - 18 wins
rogabee - 16 wins
FAM - 15 wins
El Duque - 10 wins (Eliminated)
Applecorps - 18 wins
Grammudder - 18 wins
scduke - 18 wins
Econ69 - 14 wins
WashPaRick - 15 wins
Simms - 16 wins
Dome - 13 wins (offering one million to one against
SteelCityVoice - 19 wins
VBC - 20 wins
duqkurt - 13 wins (also one million to one against
rosceaux - 17 wins
Tejas Duke - 17 wins
Phildog - 16 wins
Heels fan - 16 wins
KenOTH73 - 17 wins
Phoenix - 15 wins
Odds from here on out: Regular Season only
13 wins: See above
14 wins: Beat two bottom feeders and that’s it.
15 wins: Wow, they could actually achieve this before February, just beat three bottom feeders, La Salle, Mason and St. Louis.
16 wins: Add a Fordham or U Mass win.
17 wins: Steal one against Rhode Island, Richmond or Davidson (rematch, this time at home)
18 wins: The air is starting to get a bit thin now: Upset GW here, or VCU, Dayton, St. Joe’s or the Bonnies on the road.
19 wins: Will need two of those big upsets and avoid any hiccups against lesser opponents, and past history and law of averages, plus the usual Duquesne crappy karma makes this unlikely in my view.
20 wins: No way around it we will have to win three road games against very good or excellent teams. There is always hope.
So with that in mind: I offer:
Worst Case Scenario: 15 Wins (5%): Three wins against three bottom feeders: I believe this scenario would have to involve some seriously awful circumstances: Mason and Coulter both getting injured, suspensions, coaching staff implodes, academic scandal etc.
16 to 17 wins: 50%: 6 or 7 league wins, pulling no big upsets. Just winning 5 home games puts them in this ball park.
18 to 19 wins: 40%: Still cautious here. This is Duquesne hoops after all.
20 Wins: (5%) A lot of things would have to go right here.
Vicimus Atlanticum decem
Re: Get on the record
duq81 - 18 wins
WEB - 18 wins
rogabee - 16 wins
FAM - 15 wins (offering 500,000 to one against)
Applecorps - 18 wins
Grammudder - 18 wins
scduke - 18 wins
Econ69 - 14 wins (offering 1 million to one against)
WashPaRick - 15 wins (offering 500,000 to one against)
Simms - 16 wins
SteelCityVoice - 19 wins
VBC - 20 wins
rosceaux - 17 wins
Tejas Duke - 17 wins
Phildog - 16 wins
Heels fan - 16 wins
KenOTH73 - 17 wins
Phoenix - 15 wins (offering 500,000 to one against)
El Duque - 10 wins (Eliminated)
Dome - 13 wins (Eliminated)
duqkurt - 13 wins (Eliminated)
A lot of us are very pleased to be wrong
Vicimus Atlanticum decem
Re: Get on the record
Re: Get on the record
The Dome wrote:
Vicimus Atlanticum decem
Re: Get on the record
Tejas_Duke wrote:
The Dome wrote:
SLU will be a tough game but if we pull out a win there and drop Fordham and umass at home that's 17.
Re: Get on the record
Re: Get on the record
Worst Case Scenario: 15 Wins (1%): Not taking this completely off the board. I can still forsee a sitatuation where Duquesne becomes Duquesne and they go 1-9 down the stretch. They should be able to win at least two from Fordham, U Mass, Mason, and slightly better Rhode Island, Richmond and improving St. Louis.
16 wins (10%): Only win the two mentioned above and stumble down the stretch, disappointing and, in my view highly unlikely.
17 to 18 wins (60%): Take 4 of 6 above or split and steal a win at Bonnies or St. Joes. Much as it pains me I think this is the most likely outcome at this point. Dukes have not shown they can win on the road.
19 wins (20%); Dominate the winnable games from above. 5-1 puts them at 19, without even any upsets. I can't help but think they will have a bad "oops" with one of the bottom feeders and only win 4, plus an upset
20 Wins: (10%) I could very well see a magic number of six with winnable games and one or two upsets. I can see it, but don't have much confidence in it, yet.
21+ Wins (4%): 7 and 3 is a tall order for this improving team, but I like the fact that they have slightly better odds to do this than only win one more all season.
Vicimus Atlanticum decem
Re: Get on the record
duq81 - 18 wins
WEB - 18 wins
rogabee - 16 wins
FAM - 15 wins (offering one million to one against)
Applecorps - 18 wins
Grammudder - 18 wins
scduke - 18 wins
WashPaRick - 15 wins (offering one million to one against)
Simms - 16 wins
SteelCityVoice - 19 wins
VBC - 20 wins
rosceaux - 17 wins
Tejas Duke - 17 wins
Phildog - 16 wins
Heels fan - 16 wins
KenOTH73 - 17 wins
Phoenix - 15 wins (offering one million to one against)
El Duque - 10 wins (Eliminated)
Dome - 13 wins (Eliminated)
duqkurt - 13 wins (Eliminated)
Econ69 - 14 wins (Eliminated)
Vicimus Atlanticum decem
Re: Get on the record
Just for the record, I changed my prediction to 20 wins and gave my reasons for my change after I saw the Red-Blue Scrimmage.
Re: Get on the record
grammudder wrote:
Just for the record, I changed my prediction to 20 wins and gave my reasons for my change after I saw the Red-Blue Scrimmage.
Change duly noted:
CLK - 17 wins
duq81 - 18 wins
WEB - 18 wins
rogabee - 16 wins
FAM - 15 wins (offering one million to one against)
Applecorps - 18 wins
Grammudder - 20 wins
scduke - 18 wins
WashPaRick - 15 wins (offering one million to one against)
Simms - 16 wins
SteelCityVoice - 19 wins
VBC - 20 wins
rosceaux - 17 wins
Tejas Duke - 17 wins
Phildog - 16 wins
Heels fan - 16 wins
KenOTH73 - 17 wins
Phoenix - 15 wins (offering one million to one against)
El Duque - 10 wins (Eliminated)
Dome - 13 wins (Eliminated)
duqkurt - 13 wins (Eliminated)
Econ69 - 14 wins (Eliminated)
Vicimus Atlanticum decem
Re: Get on the record
Re: Get on the record
PhoenixRising2 wrote:
Vicimus Atlanticum decem
Re: Get on the record
Tejas_Duke wrote:
PhoenixRising2 wrote:
WE ARE CREEPING UP TO THE SECOND FLOOR....
Re: Get on the record
duq81 - 18 wins
WEB - 18 wins
rogabee - 16 wins
Applecorps - 18 wins
Grammudder - 20 wins
scduke - 18 wins
Simms - 16 wins
SteelCityVoice - 19 wins
VBC - 20 wins
rosceaux - 17 wins
Tejas Duke - 17 wins
Phildog - 16 wins
Heels fan - 16 wins
KenOTH73 - 17 wins
El Duque - 10 wins (Eliminated)
Dome - 13 wins (Eliminated)
duqkurt - 13 wins (Eliminated)
Econ69 - 14 wins (Eliminated)
FAM - 15 wins (Eliminated)
Wash PaRick - 15 (Eliminated)
Phoenix - 15 wins (Eliminated)
Congratulations to Rogabee, Heels Fan, Simms and Phildog for correctly predicting 16 wins in the regular season
Vicimus Atlanticum decem