Game Thread - University of Nebraska Cornhuskers

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Posted by PhoenixRising2
11/21/2023 4:40 pm
#1

8:00pm EST tip on Wednesday 11/22/2023 at the Pinnacle Bank Arena, Lincoln, NE

Betting line: Dukes are 7 point underdogs; Over/Under 148½
Duquesne 3-2 Against the Spread: Nebraska 4-1 ATS

Per KenPom (362 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #83 (4-1) vs Nebraska #45 (5-0)
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 7, 77-70 - Dukes with 24% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=928 
Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #90 vs Nebraska #46
Game prediction:  Dukes lose by 8, 78.48-70.37
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=4391&tid2=339&neut=0 
Per BartTorvik:
Dukes #56 vs Nebraska #34
Game prediction:  Dukes lose by 6, 77-71 - Dukes with a 27% probability of a win.
https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Duquesne&year=2024 
Duquesne Preview: https://goduquesne.com/news/2023/11/21/mens-basketball-dukes-conclude-cornhusker-classic-at-nebraska.aspx Duquesne Game Notes: https://goduquesne.com/documents/2023/11/20/06_Nebraska.pdf Nebraska Game Notes: https://huskers.com/news/2023/11/20/huskers-look-to-remain-unbeaten-on-wednesday-night 
Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne:  https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/men/2024.html Nebraska: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/Nebraska/men/2024.html 
Dukes KenPom Best Wins: College of Charleston (159); Cleveland St. (163); Rider (251)   
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses: Princeton (65)
Nebraska KenPom Best Wins: Oregon St. (177); Rider (251); Stony Brook (282) 
Nebraska KenPom Worst Losses: 

Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point:  Offense 36.9%, 72 in D-1; Defense 35.1%, 249 in D-1
Nebraska 3 Point:  Offense 32.9%, 168 in D-1; Defense 23.0%, 15 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point:  Offense 54.3%, 89 in D-1; Defense 42.5%, 35 in D-1
Nebraska 2 Point:  Offense 55.8%, 58 in D-1; Defense 39.1%, 9 in D-1
Dukes FT:  Offense 69.5%, 203 in D-1; Defense 63.4%, 49 in D-1
Nebraska FT:  Offense 66.9%, 256 in D-1; Defense 72.5%, 228 in D-1

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
Nebraska Adj Offense Efficiency - 110.7; 48 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 100.6; 114 in D-1
Nebraska Adj Defense Efficiency - 95.7; 45 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 109.3; 68 in D-1
Nebraska Adj Tempo - 69.9; 161 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 69.9; 159 in D-1

Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
Experience - Nebraska 2.63 yrs; 38 in D-1; Dukes 2.75 yrs; 22 in D-1
Average Height - Nebraska 77.6"; 110 in D-1; Dukes 76.2"; 318 in D-1

Last edited by PhoenixRising2 (11/22/2023 3:27 am)

 
Posted by BluffHunter
11/21/2023 5:24 pm
#2

When was Duquesne's last victory over a Big 10 school? How about last win over a Power 5? We were close against Penn State at PPG during the famous Dambrot Double Technical game. Last year's win over Depaul counts as "Power 6" but what about Power 5? 

 
Posted by WashPaRick
11/21/2023 5:33 pm
#3

BluffHunter wrote:

When was Duquesne's last victory over a Big 10 school? How about last win over a Power 5? We were close against Penn State at PPG during the famous Dambrot Double Technical game. Last year's win over Depaul counts as "Power 6" but what about Power 5? 

PITT?

 
Posted by PhoenixRising2
11/21/2023 6:44 pm
#4

WashPaRick wrote:

BluffHunter wrote:

When was Duquesne's last victory over a Big 10 school? How about last win over a Power 5? We were close against Penn State at PPG during the famous Dambrot Double Technical game. Last year's win over Depaul counts as "Power 6" but what about Power 5? 

PITT?

Correct, Pitt (ACC) in December 2016.  Jim Ferry's Dukes also took down Penn State (Big 10) in November 2015 and West Virginia (Big 12) in December 2012.
Last road win was against Iowa (Big 10) in November 2009 pulled off by Ron Everhart.

 
Posted by 1111 Vickroy
11/21/2023 9:25 pm
#5

They can certainly beat this team.

 
Posted by applecorps
11/21/2023 11:04 pm
#6

Don't see this as an offering on ESPN+, just a B1G network thing. Is this game going to be viewable?

 
Posted by PhoenixRising2
11/21/2023 11:22 pm
#7

applecorps wrote:

Don't see this as an offering on ESPN+, just a B1G network thing. Is this game going to be viewable?

Fios Channel 585; Comcast Xfinity 72/855
Check here:
https://btn.com/about/btn-channelfinder/

 
Posted by applecorps
11/21/2023 11:49 pm
#8

PhoenixRising2 wrote:

applecorps wrote:

Don't see this as an offering on ESPN+, just a B1G network thing. Is this game going to be viewable?

Fios Channel 585; Comcast Xfinity 72/855
Check here:
https://btn.com/about/btn-channelfinder/

Grazie, Phoenix. 

 
Posted by DuqLaw95
11/22/2023 11:37 am
#9

Should have beat Princeton.

 
Posted by luckymcd
11/22/2023 11:45 am
#10

I hate to sound like a broken record, but this is the kind of game tournament teams win. They are a good team, but by no means a great one. Their stats are inflated because of horrible competition.

Our big guys will need to step up tonight if we're going to win. They try to push everything outside defensively, so Dae Dae, Clark, and Rozier will have opportunities. Unless they are all shooting the lights out, we're going to need some scoring inside though. Good looks are tough to come by against them, and we've struggled even when getting good looks inside. They also are very good on the glass. So again the big guys need to step up.

Offensively, they are somewhat similar to Princeton, which is worrisome. It's more of a motion offense, but there are definitely similarities, and Princeton killed us. They might not have anyone that can blow by you off the dribble (especially against our guards), but everyone can pass and everyone can shoot. They also are pretty deep, with 10 guys averaging double figure minutes. I think we should back off on the press tonight. I certainly want the aggressive defense to continue in the halfcourt; but we're not going to tire them out and with their passing and shooting ability I think extending to fullcourt leaves us vulnerable to transition 3s.

I do think we'll be able to score against them, but don't know if we can make enough stops in crunch time to win. We match up with them pretty well, but the biggest mismatch might be coaching in their favor. I like Dambrot, but Hoiberg is one of the best in the game. They are 4-1 in their last 5 games decided by 6 points or less, we are 1-4. I hope I'm wrong, but I think that trend may continue. Dukes cover the spread, but lose 72-68.

Last edited by luckymcd (11/22/2023 11:47 am)

 
Posted by FAM
11/22/2023 12:18 pm
#11

luckymcd, I agree with you on this post.  If we really are going to be a tournament team, we need to win away and against a good team.  Also, it does depend on our big guys as the front court can change off on who is having the best night.  Additionally, and it is Early...I can see us getting to the NIT but not the NCAA yet.
Go Dukes!

 
Posted by z duke
11/22/2023 12:48 pm
#12

Interesting perspective off of the Nebraska board...

"It's a trap in the sense that:-The Dukes have a couple of legit dudes that can take over games-Student section will be empty for Thanksgiving-Best team we've played thus far, but with a name that doesn't get you excited Talented opponent plus apathetic crowd is a recipe for a trap.  Obviously Hoiberg and the team aren't overlooking Duquesne, but the casual fans are and that is going to cause some awkward nervous energy in the arena if we fall behind.  And that's the sort of negative energy that can effect the team."

 
Posted by Ironduke81
11/22/2023 2:21 pm
#13

Not to be negative BUT the Dukes are without 2 of their super experienced aircraft carriers at the center position. Nebraskas bigs remind me of the 1970-80s offensive lineman. The guards can shot 3’s. I disagree that Dambrot is an inferior coaching this matchup. Finally it’s called the”Cornhusker Classic” Home court advantage plus Big Ten Referees. 😭Watch how many tick-tac fouls are called Jimmy Clark 1st half. (4th in steals) Big ten referees may cause me to🍺🍷🥃 Oh I forgot Tominaga from Japan. Steph Curry of the Japanese national team. Good story on espn College basketball thread. 🇯🇵🇯🇵🇯🇵

Last edited by Ironduke81 (11/22/2023 2:50 pm)

 
Posted by WashPaRick
11/22/2023 7:32 pm
#14

Where's Danny Nee when you need him?

 
Posted by WashPaRick
11/22/2023 8:13 pm
#15

2 quick on Clark but decent start other than that.

 
Posted by KenOTR73
11/22/2023 8:42 pm
#16

Hanging in there. Rozier stepping up as Grant has fallen off. 33 - 30 us.


WE ARE CREEPING UP TO THE SECOND FLOOR....
 
Posted by Styles1229
11/22/2023 8:45 pm
#17

Love the rebounding tonight. I don’t like the fouls 9-5.  I LOVE Kareem tonight. He’s really taking what they are giving him and executing.  Not trying to do too much.

 
Posted by 1111 Vickroy
11/22/2023 8:48 pm
#18

Freaking Daryl Dawkins Dixon....he monster dunked and broke the hoop ..he's a beast

 
Posted by MikeR
11/22/2023 8:49 pm
#19

Some genius at Nebraska finally figured out
they might need a ladder.

 
Posted by WashPaRick
11/22/2023 8:50 pm
#20

I think I can grow to dislike the little guy from Japan.

 
Posted by 1111 Vickroy
11/22/2023 9:00 pm
#21

WashPaRick wrote:

I think I can grow to dislike the little guy from Japan.

As a buddy of mine says: "NS"

 
Posted by Styles1229
11/22/2023 9:01 pm
#22

Nice half. Disappointed we couldn’t get a better look during that last possession.  That’s the first time in a while Rozier was out of control and trying to do what he can’t.  Not going to knock him though because was excellent all half.

 
Posted by CityDuke
11/22/2023 9:01 pm
#23

Jimmy Clark with two quick fouls forcing him to play limited minutes, and we are still ahead at the half. Great half of basketball between two well-coached teams.  Fun to watch. Good penetration by our Dukes. Great rebounding. Keep it up!

 
Posted by BluffHunter
11/22/2023 9:10 pm
#24

The effort is there. The defense is there. Please keep hitting the threes and the intensity up and we have a great shot!!! 20 minutes of basketball has me stressed to no end!

 
Posted by CityDuke
11/22/2023 9:17 pm
#25

Well, I think we were all anticipating a tough whistle to start the second, but this is crazy

 


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