Duquesne Dukes Fan Forum » Game Thread

PhoenixRising2 · 1/19/2019 9:09 pm

4:00pm EST tip on Sunday 01/20/2019 at the Charles E. Smith Center, Washington, DC.
Per KenPom:
Dukes #165 (12-5; 3-1) vs George Washington Colonials #272 (6-11; 2-2) - Atlantic 10 Conference
Game prediction: Dukes win by 2, 69-67 - Dukes with 58% probability of a win.
Betting line: Dukes are 3 point favorites; Over/Under 137
Duquesne 6-10-1 Against the Spread: George Washington 9-8 ATS

Dukes Best Win(s): Radford (132); Marshall (135)
Dukes Worst Loss(es): NJIT (185); Davidson (78); Notre Dame (75)
George Washington Best Win(s): Saint Joseph's (179); American (197)
George Washington Worst Loss(es): Siena (279); Richmond (200); Valparaiso (176)

Four Factors ==> Effective field goal percentage; Turnover percentage; Offensive rebounding percentage; Free throw rate (shown below if team has Top 100 ranking overall or top 4 in conference as a strength; if team has Bottom 100 ranking or bottom 4 in conference as a weakness)

Here's a look at George Washington for the season (national ranking out of 353 teams):
Offensive Strength: None
Offensive Weakness: Effective FG % (325) Offensive Rebound % (315)
Defensive Strength: FT Rate (68)
Defensive Weakness: Offensive Rebound % (274)

Here's a look at George Washington in the A-10 (conference ranking out of 14 teams):
Offensive Strength: None
Offensive Weakness: FT Rate (13); Effective FG % (12)
Defensive Strength: None
Defensive Weakness: Turnover % (11)

Here's a look at the Dukes for the season (national ranking out of 353 teams):
Offensive Strength: Offensive Rebound % (86)
Offensive Weakness: Turnover % (290)
Defensive Strength: Turnover % (21)
Defensive Weakness: Offensive Rebound % (287)

Here's a look at the Dukes in the A-10 (conference ranking out of 14 teams):
Offensive Strength: Effective FG% (2)
Offensive Weakness: None
Defensive Strength: FT Rate (4)
Defensive Weakness: Effective FG% (12)

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions
George Washington Adj Offense Efficiency - 94.9; 317 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 102.8; 146 in D-1
George Washington Adj Defense Efficiency - 103.8; 164 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 102.3; 210 in D-1
George Washington Adj Tempo - 68.1; 205 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 69.9; 115 in D-1

Miscellaneous
Experience - George Washington 1.25 yrs; 299 in D-1; Dukes 0.68 yrs; 349 in D-1
Average Height - George Washington 76.4"; 237 in D-1; Dukes 75.9"; 302 in D-1

Last edited by PhoenixRising2 (1/20/2019 10:26 am)

PhoenixRising2 · 1/20/2019 10:27 am

Updated with some minor edits due to results of last night's games.

Dukes2012 · 1/20/2019 10:31 am

Won’t be an easy game, but one we really need to win with this tough stretch coming up.

WashPaRick · 1/20/2019 12:50 pm

Favored in a road game, who woulda thunk?

coffee · 1/20/2019 1:01 pm

WashPaRick wrote:
Favored in a road game, who woulda thunk?

Most lines have the Dukes favored by 3. It started off at 2.5.

Anybody going down to the Cassino to try their luck? I guess they'd have the Dukes game at the window.

RPI predictor has us loosing at GW by 5 but winning the next three at home against MUCH stiffer opposition (St. Louis, VCU, and Rhode Island).

I think the RPI has outstayed its usefulness. No wonder the NCAA has replaced it. I'll gladly take the three wins though.

VBC · 1/20/2019 1:04 pm

WashPaRick wrote:
Favored in a road game, who woulda thunk?

Me.

I've been thinking about this from the day Keith Dambrot was introduced as coach because I had no doubt that such a thing was on the way after hearing him talk about his goals for the program. What I'm really looking forward to is an at large bid to the NCAA tournament because that is coming as well. Maybe not this year, but next season it very well could happen. And I think we have a shot at winning the A-10 tournament this season and getting the leagues' auto bid.

yak-rbc · 1/20/2019 2:45 pm

It is difficult to expect to win on the road but this team is atrocious offensively and I really do expect these Dukes to win somewhat handily

Dsnyder15 · 1/20/2019 3:02 pm

yak-rbc wrote:
It is difficult to expect to win on the road but this team is atrocious offensively and I really do expect these Dukes to win somewhat handily

From your fingers to God's eyes. I expect them to win....but I expect them to struggle all season. They are expected to pass and that will lead to turnovers until they are comfortable and learn to take care of the ball. Players need to learn the system and where they fit....and I am concerned that Williams is having difficulty understanding where and when he should be shooting. I read some comments that he gets frustrated not getting the ball in his spots. I would want to know if he is frustrated getting the ball in bad spots or that he is not getting it when he is in his spot. This year is where those issues will be worked out. Struggling is good. It will build mental toughness needed to win close games in the future. An easy road win sounds really good though....

Last edited by Dsnyder15 (1/20/2019 3:06 pm)

Duques102 · 1/20/2019 3:23 pm

Don’t know a lot about GW this year other than their record isn’t great. Speaking of, we are 1-2 in true road games this year so nothing is guaranteed. Hope to see another good performance and the W.

Go Dukes!

WashPaRick · 1/20/2019 3:58 pm

Let's win this and get back home with some momentum for Dayton, VCU and Rhode Island.

WashPaRick · 1/20/2019 4:02 pm

If they start 4 guards I'm curious to see Williams and Weathers on D.

WashPaRick · 1/20/2019 4:12 pm

Now that's the way to start a game.

coffee · 1/20/2019 4:13 pm

Hugh’s must be feeling better! 16-2 so far and both of those trying g to guard him have 2 fouls already!

Duques102 · 1/20/2019 4:17 pm

WashPaRick wrote:
Now that's the way to start a game.

This is unbelievable.

coffee · 1/20/2019 4:21 pm

Owning the boards

WashPaRick · 1/20/2019 4:33 pm

G.W. scoring way too easily now. Time to pick up the D again. The zone slowed done our offense also.

yak-rbc · 1/20/2019 4:56 pm

Well I'm more nervous about this game than I should be after the 1st 5 minutes

WashPaRick · 1/20/2019 4:59 pm

yak-rbc wrote:
Well I'm more nervous about this game than I should be after the 1st 5 minutes

Looks like it could be another nail biter.

FAM · 1/20/2019 5:01 pm

When Hughes is out they go back to man to man. When he is in, they go back to that zone. Our other big guys need to pick up the slack.

phil95 · 1/20/2019 5:04 pm

Wade is not ready for this but this is how you get experience. Chicken/egg.

Face · 1/20/2019 5:19 pm

Frustrating to watch. To have such an explosive start and now for it to be close means DU has played just as poorly in stretches.

That said, if the team takes it as a lesson then that’s good.

Let’s stay in control and finish this one out...

WashPaRick · 1/20/2019 5:21 pm

yak-rbc wrote:
It is difficult to expect to win on the road but this team is atrocious offensively and I really do expect these Dukes to win somewhat handily

Atrocious might have been too strong a word.

WashPaRick · 1/20/2019 5:23 pm

Thought I saw Bizzeau on the court.

WashPaRick · 1/20/2019 5:30 pm

I think that was Bizzeaus first bucket of the year.

FAM · 1/20/2019 5:36 pm

Kelly is not helping us.