Duquesne Dukes Fan Forum » Game Thread

PhoenixRising2 · 1/01/2021 2:47 pm

12:30pm EST tip on Saturday 01/02/2021 at the Smith Center, Washington, DC
Per KenPom:
Dukes #85 (1-1; 0-0) vs George Washington Colonials #207 (2-6; 1-0)
Game prediction: Dukes win by 7, 77-70 - Dukes with 75% probability of a win.
Betting line: Dukes are 7 point favorites; Over/Under 142 (opened at 148½)
Duquesne 1-1 Against the Spread; George Washington 3-5 ATS

Dukes Best Win(s): UNC Greensboro (110)
Dukes Worst Loss(es): Little Rock (147)
George Washington Best Win(s): Fordham (222); Coppin St. (335)
George Washington Worst Loss(es): Hampton (331); William & Mary (294); Delaware (255)

Four Factors ==> Effective field goal percentage; Turnover percentage; Offensive rebounding percentage; Free throw rate (shown below if team has Top 100 ranking overall or top 4 in conference as a strength; if team has Bottom 100 ranking or bottom 4 in conference as a weakness)

Here's a look at George Washington for the season (national ranking out of 357 teams):
Offensive Strength: Effective FG % (77)
Offensive Weakness: None
Defensive Strength: FT Rate (16)
Defensive Weakness: None

Here's a look at George Washington in the A-10 (conference ranking out of 14 teams):
Offensive Strength: Effective FG % (2)
Offensive Weakness: None
Defensive Strength: Effective FG % (1); Offensive Rebound % (4)
Defensive Weakness: Turnover % (12)

Here's a look at the Dukes for the season (national ranking out of 357 teams):
Offensive Strength: FT Rate (6); Offensive Rebound % (96)
Offensive Weakness: None
Defensive Strength: Turnover % (10); FT Rate (93)
Defensive Weakness: Offensive Rebound % (298); Effective FG % (281)

Here's a look at the Dukes in the A-10 (conference ranking out of 14 teams):
Offensive Strength: N/A
Offensive Weakness: N/A
Defensive Strength: N/A
Defensive Weakness: N/A

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions
George Washington Adj Offense Efficiency - 100.4, #175 in D-1
-vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 96.7, #93 in D-1
George Washington Adj Defense Efficiency - 104.8, #262 in D-1
-vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 106.0, #84 in D-1
George Washington Adj Tempo - 71.4, #112 in D-1
-vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 70.5, #156 in D-1

Miscellaneous
Experience - George Washington 1.47 yrs, #255 in D-1; Dukes 2.05 yrs, #72 in D-1
Minutes Continuity - George Washington 45.4%, #163 in D-1; Dukes 75.2%, #11 in D-1
Average Height - George Washington 78.0", #37 in D-1; Dukes 75.5", #318 in D-1

Haslametrics = has the Dukes as 99th in the country.
George Washington is 267th in the country.
Automated Game Preview: https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=4391&tid2=113&neut=0
Overall Ratings: http://haslametrics.com/ratings.php

Last edited by PhoenixRising2 (1/02/2021 11:39 am)

DennisC91 · 1/01/2021 4:13 pm

I really thought GW would be better than this so far. I know they lost their leading scorer and rebounder from last year's team but they added a couple of Power-5 transfers to a decent nucleus of returnees. Crushed Fordham the other night, hope they're not starting to figure it out.

CLK · 1/01/2021 7:12 pm

PhoenixRising2 · 1/02/2021 11:40 am

The Dukes owe this team. Losing to GW at home last year was the worst loss of the year for the Dukes and knocked them off of the bubble (before COVID burst all bubbles). It would be great to get 2 wins in Foggy Bottom to start the conference games.

WashPaRick · 1/02/2021 12:25 pm

PhoenixRising2 wrote:
The Dukes owe this team. Losing to GW at home last year was the worst loss of the year for the Dukes and knocked them off of the bubble (before COVID burst all bubbles). It would be great to get 2 wins in Foggy Bottom to start the conference games.

Let's keep an eye on that lefty who likes to toss up the 3's.

WashPaRick · 1/02/2021 12:53 pm

Carry hasn't hit rim on 2 lay ups

WashPaRick · 1/02/2021 12:54 pm

Like Okani so far.

WashPaRick · 1/02/2021 1:30 pm

Okani and Kelly doing well but refs seem to be off their game a little.

FAM · 1/02/2021 1:50 pm

Okani is good!

S.R.M. · 1/02/2021 2:31 pm

Really impressed with the bench today. Okani and Kelly both looked really good. Marcus and Tavian both played well but Sincere and Mike need to play better tomorrow. Really like this team's depth. They have 10 legitimate division one players on this team.

VBC · 1/02/2021 2:34 pm

Toby Okani looks like he can be a special player.

Econ69 · 1/02/2021 2:37 pm

Dukes have a good chance to win tomorrow.
GW played 8 players; Dukes played 12
Fatigue has to be an issue for GW
Dukes had solid defense especially on the 3 ball

Tejas_Duke · 1/02/2021 2:48 pm

Funniest moment today. Felt bad for Hughes when he got the "Butt Travel" call on that tie up with Rotroff on that rebound early in the game.

BluffHunter · 1/02/2021 2:49 pm

Okani just could not miss today. Amari looked great too... Hopefully things continue to come together, having these two games against an opponent like GW is a big help. Whenever Murphy was on the floor he did great too, his vision and patience driving to the open gaps is fantastic, and with how much he has traveled maybe he can be our guard version of Baylee Steele... or better.

WashPaRick · 1/02/2021 2:53 pm

Econ69 wrote:
Dukes have a good chance to win tomorrow.
GW played 8 players; Dukes played 12
Fatigue has to be an issue for GW
Dukes had solid defense especially on the 3 ball

These youngsters probably going to supper and to play ball the rest of the night. I'm not counting on the fatigue factor but I'm worried about the better free throw and 3 point % factors.

Crosseye · 1/02/2021 2:56 pm

S.R.M. wrote:
Really impressed with the bench today. Okani and Kelly both looked really good. Marcus and Tavian both played well but Sincere and Mike need to play better tomorrow. Really like this team's depth. They have 10 legitimate division one players on this team.

S.R.M., I don't disagree that Carry and Hughes need to play better tomorrow, especially Sincere Carry. However, the common misconception with Hughes, and why he never seems to get much love from anyone announcing games or voting for top players, in my opinion, is because he really is not a scorer. But the guy nearly always seems to find a way to produce. As much as you might want to say he was invisible today, check out his line. He didn't have any steals even though he causes so much disruption, and that's rare, but the rest of his line, despite the perception that he didn't play that great, is as follows:
26 minutes, 12 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 blocks, 0 turnovers. He also made 5 of 6 free throws and 1 of 2 3-point attempts. He is a guy who just might get some NBA attention with that sort of performance. It happens all the time and he deserves more love because of it.

WashPaRick · 1/02/2021 3:28 pm

We tied our record of 3 road wins in a row. Could be a record setting performance tomorrow.

phil95 · 1/02/2021 3:45 pm

Crosseye wrote:
S.R.M. wrote:
Really impressed with the bench today. Okani and Kelly both looked really good. Marcus and Tavian both played well but Sincere and Mike need to play better tomorrow. Really like this team's depth. They have 10 legitimate division one players on this team.
S.R.M., I don't disagree that Carry and Hughes need to play better tomorrow, especially Sincere Carry. However, the common misconception with Hughes, and why he never seems to get much love from anyone announcing games or voting for top players, in my opinion, is because he really is not a scorer. But the guy nearly always seems to find a way to produce. As much as you might want to say he was invisible today, check out his line. He didn't have any steals even though he causes so much disruption, and that's rare, but the rest of his line, despite the perception that he didn't play that great, is as follows:
26 minutes, 12 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 blocks, 0 turnovers. He also made 5 of 6 free throws and 1 of 2 3-point attempts. He is a guy who just might get some NBA attention with that sort of performance. It happens all the time and he deserves more love because of it.

Great observation on Hughes.

This was also an interesting game for TDM. He did a very good job running the show when Sin sat. His defense was also smart & disciplined. Both of these are very encouraging to me.
Unfortunately, both his shot selection & shooting were terrible. The amount of deep,sideways-fading 3s he takes is ridiculous. There are only a dozen or so players on the planet that can make these shots at an acceptable rate of accuracy; he isn't one of them.

Will Lamar find his shot? He does so many other things well.

What is Maceo's scoring game? He is a very good ball mover, team player, & defender. I would really like to see the baseline & alley-oop plays they ran for him in the non-con last season get some use. They kept him looking to score & created nice movement when the shots weren't there.

I loved the coaching today. It was so smart to go deep into the bench on the front end of a back to back. Also, the inbounds play calls were spot-on.

Gotta win tomorrow!

PhoenixRising2 · 1/02/2021 3:45 pm

Crosseye wrote:
S.R.M. wrote:
Really impressed with the bench today. Okani and Kelly both looked really good. Marcus and Tavian both played well but Sincere and Mike need to play better tomorrow. Really like this team's depth. They have 10 legitimate division one players on this team.
S.R.M., I don't disagree that Carry and Hughes need to play better tomorrow, especially Sincere Carry. However, the common misconception with Hughes, and why he never seems to get much love from anyone announcing games or voting for top players, in my opinion, is because he really is not a scorer. But the guy nearly always seems to find a way to produce. As much as you might want to say he was invisible today, check out his line. He didn't have any steals even though he causes so much disruption, and that's rare, but the rest of his line, despite the perception that he didn't play that great, is as follows:
26 minutes, 12 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 blocks, 0 turnovers. He also made 5 of 6 free throws and 1 of 2 3-point attempts. He is a guy who just might get some NBA attention with that sort of performance. It happens all the time and he deserves more love because of it.

Crosseye, agree. Mike is a savvy team player. As you pointed out, he quietly posted that solid stat line. Mike is going to make some coin playing professionally overseas.

I’m still waiting to see something from Austin. He looks so passive out there; he has no confidence in his game.

FAM · 1/02/2021 4:10 pm

-I actually think Hughes contributed - I also like that when he blocked a shot near the end of the game instead of thumping his chest, he went over and helped the GW guy up - hope this continues.]
-TDM missed his first two free-throws
-Wondering if Okani eventually takes over for Maceo
-Coach has a number of “good” players” who can all contribute - this will definitely be a plus

Go Dukes

townsonkid · 1/02/2021 4:13 pm

Nice opener. Okani was nice to watch. That drive on the break to go down the lane with speed and composure was A+. If he and Kelly gain confidence, look out. Tomorrow will be huge, a good start under all these conditions will go a long way.

BluffHunter · 1/02/2021 4:39 pm

Coach and Okani postgame: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5mPjTyN_Vb4&feature=emb_title

Last edited by BluffHunter (1/02/2021 4:39 pm)

DennisC91 · 1/02/2021 5:53 pm

It's one thing to win because the Core Four of Hughes, Weathers, Carry and TDM all had big games, as in the UNCG game. It's another thing altogether to win because other guys beyond the Core Four stepped up and had big games, in this case, Okani and Kelly. Even Rotroff was effective in limited minutes. We won comfortably even with Carry on the bench for 12 minutes and Hughes and Weathers in foul trouble and eventually fouling out. Strange to see a team in command of a game even as foul calls are going more than 2-1 against it, but whatever. It's these kinds of wins that give me hope that this team can take that next step this year. Provided we're actually able to have a season.

BluffHunter · 1/02/2021 7:09 pm

Extended highlights:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WeVWtDHUkWQ

luckymcd · 1/02/2021 9:04 pm

This game shows an incredible coaching performance. The team looked drastically improved from the last game. Dambrot managed to bring together a cohesive unit and coach up the young players even with barely any practice. We may not get a single guy on the first team all-conference, but we might also have the deepest team in the league. Bringing back pretty much the entire core from last year, getting the young guys early action (and having them perform in it), plus Kelly finally looks healthy, is a recipe for success in our league and hopefully beyond. GW doesn't have a good team and under normal circumstances this wouldn't be anything more than an expected easy win. Getting this performance after a month with barely any team activity is huge. We should do even better tomorrow.

Game Thread - George Washington Colonials (A)

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Econ69 wrote:

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S.R.M. wrote:

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Crosseye wrote:

S.R.M. wrote:

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Crosseye wrote:

S.R.M. wrote:

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