Duquesne Dukes Fan Forum » Game Thread

PhoenixRising2 · 1/06/2023 10:56 pm

6:00pm EST tip on Saturday 01/07/2023 at the Robins Center, Richmond, VA

Per KenPom (363 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #114 (12-4; 2-1 A10) vs Richmond Spiders #98 (8-7; 1-1 A-10)
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 4, 69-65 - Dukes with a 36% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=2855

Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #93 vs Richmond #102
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 2, 66.68-64.60
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=4391&tid2=537&neut=0

Betting line: Dukes are 3 point underdogs; Over/Under 134½
Duquesne 9-7 Against the Spread: Richmond 8-6-1 ATS

Duquesne Game Notes: https://goduquesne.com/news/2023/1/6/mens-basketball-preview-duquesne-at-richmond.aspx
Richmond Game Notes: https://richmondspiders.com/documents/2023/1/6/16_vs_Duquesne.pdf

Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/2023.html
Richmond: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/richmond/2023.html

Dukes KenPom Best Wins: UCSB (95); Colgate (105); Indiana St. (110); VCU (118); Ball State (144)
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses: New Mexico St (141); Marshall (84); Dayton (54); Kentucky (16)
Richmond KenPom Best Wins: Drake (97); Temple (127); Northern Iowa (181)
Richmond KenPom Worst Losses: William & Mary (307); Wichita St (116); George Mason (111)

Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point: Offense 37.1%, 49 in D-1; Defense 35.8%, 277 in D-1
Richmond 3 Point: Offense 36.6%, 60 in D-1; Defense 30.3%, 56 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point: Offense 48.4%, 242 in D-1; Defense 47.0%, 89 in D-1
Richmond 2 Point: Offense 51.2%, 130 in D-1; Defense 48.5%, 137 in D-1
Dukes FT: Offense 68.3%, 262 in D-1; Defense 70.9%, 193 in D-1
Richmond FT: Offense 70.3%, 207 in D-1; Defense 68.2%, 85 in D-1

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
Richmond Adj Offense Efficiency - 102.9; 160 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 102.6; 186 in D-1
Richmond Adj Defense Efficiency - 96.6; 74 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 107.6; 74 in D-1
Richmond Adj Tempo - 65.0; 308 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 67.2; 229 in D-1

Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
D-1 Experience - Richmond 2.25 yrs; 118 in D-1; Dukes 2.10 yrs; 142 in D-1
Average Height - Richmond 77.6"; 89 in D-1; Dukes 76.3"; 313 in D-1

Last edited by PhoenixRising2 (1/07/2023 10:18 am)

Ironduke81 · 1/07/2023 9:00 am

Don’t see Dukes minus 3. Yes Spiders nice wins against Temple & Drake. But I watched William (Bill) & Mary formerly called Indians win at home against Richmond by 1 point. W&M is not that talented but was a rivalry games. If Dukes can defend the Princeton offense (no back door bunnies) they win by at least 5 & over. Go Dukes

FAM · 1/07/2023 9:18 am

Of course they have to play strong defense again...but the wild card here, though not so wild, is how will they do playing an away game. We know that they do well at home. They have to learn to win away from the Coop.
Go Dukes!

WashPaRick · 1/07/2023 10:05 am

Grant's gonna light Richmond up.

NapaDuke · 1/07/2023 11:10 am

Maybe a hidden stat here would be that the Dukes keep improving with each game and Reese is in now. Early games for the Dukes they were still finding that chemistry that they have now. I think this is a winnable game. Go Dukes.

CLK · 1/07/2023 11:23 am

WashPaRick wrote:
Grant's gonna light Richmond up.

🤣 Go Dukes!

Motor · 1/07/2023 12:27 pm

Ironduke81 wrote:
Don’t see Dukes minus 3. Yes Spiders nice wins against Temple & Drake. But I watched William (Bill) & Mary formerly called Indians win at home against Richmond by 1 point. W&M is not that talented but was a rivalry games. If Dukes can defend the Princeton offense (no back door bunnies) they win by at least 5 & over. Go Dukes

Hoping for a W and that as you said guard the Princeton offense although that is not a strong suit of the Richmond Duquesne battles over the series life.
Go Dukes poison the Spiders!

coffee · 1/07/2023 12:55 pm

What’s been going on with the radio broadcasts? 104.7 fm and 907 am seem to not be carrying the games.

PhoenixRising2 · 1/07/2023 1:07 pm

coffee wrote:
What’s been going on with the radio broadcasts? 104.7 fm and 907 am seem to not be carrying the games.

coffee, the games are broadcast on 104.7 HD2 (not 104.7); you have to have a HD radio to tune in (most newer cars have this built in). The games are supposedly found on iHeartRadio (never tried that method). Per Duquesne game notes, RADIO: 104.7 HD2 / iHeartRadio with Ray Goss ('58) & Tad Maurey

luckymcd · 1/07/2023 1:58 pm

I’m really trying to recognize this year’s team is totally different than year’s past, and much better. Still I can’t get over the house of horrors that Richmond’s gym has been for us. The 3 point numbers terrify me too. Of course the Spiders love to kill you with 1,000 paper cuts using back door cuts to get bunnies. Even in our wins we’ve struggled defending the three though. We need to defend the whole floor and can’t sag to prevent the bunnies. Once again I hope I’m wrong, but I just don’t see the Dukes taking this one. Hopefully the new Dukes keep proving me wrong until I come to my senses.

El Presidente · 1/07/2023 2:53 pm

Richmond winning 3 out of 4 and playing like Richmond. I'll be thrilled with a win but not overly disappointed if the Dukes come up short. One of the tougher games on our schedule. GO DUKES!!

PhoenixRising2 · 1/07/2023 3:56 pm

luckymcd wrote:
I’m really trying to recognize this year’s team is totally different than year’s past, and much better. Still I can’t get over the house of horrors that Richmond’s gym has been for us. The 3 point numbers terrify me too. Of course the Spiders love to kill you with 1,000 paper cuts using back door cuts to get bunnies. Even in our wins we’ve struggled defending the three though. We need to defend the whole floor and can’t sag to prevent the bunnies. Once again I hope I’m wrong, but I just don’t see the Dukes taking this one. Hopefully the new Dukes keep proving me wrong until I come to my senses.

With the Dukes, KD is 1-1 at the Robins Center. Interestingly enough, KD is 0-3 at home and 1-1 at neutral sites versus the Spiders.

phil95 · 1/07/2023 5:07 pm

-Gotta play fast because that is when Dukes are best & Richmond doesn't want to
-Dukes must control their perimeter shooting
-Tyler Burton is a tough matchup for Dukes as a great shooter/all-around offensive guy/rebounder at 6' 7"
-Their starting PG is 5' 10" & a redshirt freshman that hasn't shot very well on the year
-7' starting center leads team in assists & A/TO ratio/does not shoot 3s & has only 10 blocks in 15 games
-They go 8 players deep, aren't very big, & don't foul much
-They don't generate many turnovers but also don't turn it over much

CityDuke · 1/07/2023 6:26 pm

4-0 in team fouls already. One ref blows for a foul for Clark, the other overrules and says travel. The trend continues…and it’s getting old. Would love to see a Dambrot technical!

applecorps · 1/07/2023 6:26 pm

Home or away, some things never change. Richmond just got a 3 from a shooter on the arc line.

CityDuke · 1/07/2023 6:46 pm

Am I dreaming? If so, no one wake me up.

BluffHunter · 1/07/2023 6:52 pm

this is insanity

BluffHunter · 1/07/2023 7:02 pm

34 points is still a lot of points to give up in a half. But still, 62% shooting is great. Got a little sloppy at the end of the half there... there's still a ton of ball left to be played.

townsonkid · 1/07/2023 7:03 pm

Hope the first 16 minutes carry over to the 2nd half, not the last 4. Love how the whole roster is contributing tonight.

CityDuke · 1/07/2023 7:19 pm

3-0 team fouls to start the second half. Gunn just ran in front of Burton who slips and gets sent to the line? Interesting

BluffHunter · 1/07/2023 7:25 pm

Horrible start to the second half

DuqLaw95 · 1/07/2023 7:25 pm

Another slow start in the second half. This trend is concerning.

townsonkid · 1/07/2023 7:26 pm

They look lazy and complacent now. Better wake up PDQ. That big lead is gone now.

applecorps · 1/07/2023 7:26 pm

CityDuke wrote:
3-0 team fouls to start the second half. Gunn just ran in front of Burton who slips and gets sent to the line? Interesting

Yes, a phantom foul. Nice play-acting.

CityDuke · 1/07/2023 7:37 pm

7-2 fouls. Unreal. They don’t call a goaltend on Clark’s layup. Then they call a bogus illegal screen on Reece and another quick bang bang block/charge goes their way for his 5th. This is a joke. Keep fighting Dukes!!

Last edited by CityDuke (1/07/2023 7:37 pm)

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WashPaRick wrote:

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Ironduke81 wrote:

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coffee wrote:

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luckymcd wrote:

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CityDuke wrote:

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