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1/27/2023 4:59 pm  #1


Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

4:00pm EST tip on Saturday 01/28/2023 at the Mullins Center, Amherst, MA

Per KenPom (363 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #126 (14-7; 4-4 A-10) vs University of Massachusetts Minutemen #157 (12-8; 3-5 A-10)
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 1, 74-73 - Dukes with a 46% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=3867

Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #122 vs UMass #157
Game prediction:  Dukes win by 1, 72.99-72.90
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=4391&tid2=249&neut=0

Betting line: Dukes are 1 point underdogs; Over/Under 145½
Duquesne 12-9 Against the Spread: UMass 10-9-1 ATS

Duquesne Game Notes: https://goduquesne.com/news/2023/1/27/mens-basketball-preview-duquesne-at-massachusetts.aspx
UMass Game Notes: https://umassathletics.com/news/2023/1/27/mens-basketball-mens-hoops-welcomes-in-duquesne-for-saturday-afternoon-matchup

Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne:  https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/2023.html
UMass:  https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/massachusetts/2023.html

Dukes KenPom Best Wins: VCU (76); UCSB (88); Colgate (120); Indiana St. (128); DePaul (136)
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses: New Mexico St (197); St. Bonaventure (178); Fordham (160); Richmond (125); Marshall (79); Dayton (67) 
UMass KenPom Best Wins: Colorado (55); Saint Louis (81); Charlotte (106); Hofstra (110)
UMass KenPom Worst Losses: La Salle (266); Saint Joseph's (198); St. Bonaventure (178); George Washington (174); UMass Lowell (166)

Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point:  Offense 36.7%, 43 in D-1; Defense 35.3%, 258 in D-1
UMass 3 Point:  Offense 35.1%, 112 in D-1; Defense 31.9%, 98 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point:  Offense 47.8%, 270 in D-1; Defense 47.4%, 91 in D-1
UMass 2 Point:  Offense 44.6%, 338 in D-1; Defense 51.0%, 223 in D-1
Dukes FT:  Offense 69.0%, 255 in D-1; Defense 69.8%, 78 in D-1
UMass FT:  Offense 69.4%, 243 in D-1; Defense 69.1%, 89 in D-1

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
UMass Adj Offense Efficiency - 102.7; 200 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 104.3; 189 in D-1
UMass Adj Defense Efficiency - 101.9; 132 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 108.3; 90 in D-1
UMass Adj Tempo - 70.6; 34 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 66.7; 204 in D-1

Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
D-1 Experience - UMass 1.81 yrs; 202 in D-1; Dukes 2.09 yrs; 148 in D-1
Average Height - UMass 77.4"; 131 in D-1; Dukes 76.1"; 327 in D-1

 

1/28/2023 8:03 am  #2


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

https://twitter.com/MLBergman_/status/1619067848768503811

UMass Injury Report, per HC Frank Martin:

F Matt Cross (non-covid related illness) did not practice. QUESTIONABLE vs Duquesne.

G TJ Weeks (knee) practiced in full today and should be ACTIVE.

G Noah Fernandes (ankle) is progressing but still limited in practice. QUESTIONABLE.

     Thread Starter
 

1/28/2023 8:31 am  #3


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Fan Duel Dukes -1.5…. Surprised by the line. UMASS 4&5’s built like linebackers. Any Frank Martin team MUST play defense 24/7. Offensive skills lacking. Dukes have to hit their 3’s 33-38%. Dukes bigs cannot have a repeat Fordham performance. A-10 this year top to bottom is a crapshoot.Go Dukes👍

 

1/28/2023 9:52 am  #4


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

After the one-week layoff earlier in the season, Duquesne was terrible for two games and then began to play much better.  I'm hoping that history repeats itself and they recapture their outside shooting accuracy.  Grant is due for a good game on the road.  I hope Clark and McGriff are healthy and I hope Clark is agressive going to the basket like he was against VCU.

IronDuke81, I agree that Duquesne's front court has to play much better than in the previous few games.  I hope that Dixon is available.  Rotroff has been really good at times--like in the last game.  I would like to see more Barre and Dixon and less Reece.  Hopefully, KD will pull the right levers.  A win at Mass would be pretty big here.  I watched some of St. Louis and Davidson last night and I agree that this league is up for grabs.  If Duquesne can stay hot in the tournament, anything can happen.

 

1/28/2023 3:35 pm  #5


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

I feel like this is a game we should win, but I’m worried about it. While they aren’t good statistically inside, as has been pointed out they are bruisers. Our bigs have struggled against some soft teams inside. They are pretty good shooting the 3 ball and we’ve been terrible defending the outside shot all year long (I’m honestly surprised we’re not worse than 258th nationally that Phoenix’s stats show). Plus we have struggled in Massachusetts. We’ve played them pretty evenly at home, but we’re 2-17 in their place.

 

1/28/2023 4:41 pm  #6


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

In typical A10 officiating fashion, Reece, Rotroff, and Gunn with two fouls each already. While the Minutemen throw the ball at the rim and their bigs maul us on the rebounds. But nothing that wasn’t expected, officiating included.

 

1/28/2023 4:59 pm  #7


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Frank Martin needs a stylists. That jacket wow. You would think when Ronnie hired him out of Miami as a high school coach at North Eastern he would dress appropriate.Everybody talks about Martin as a Huggins disciple. Again thank you Dr. Chuck loser & Quinipiac  Clown . Go Dukes & go Coach Dambrot. TheA10 is a Complain.

 

1/28/2023 5:04 pm  #8


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Sloppy lazy defense, stupid fouls 30 feet from the basket, missed foul shots, blah, blah, blah. The most disappointing thing is Dambrot's lineup combinations. As a masochist I kind of know why I started watching this even though I knew the outcome at the get go against a team playing without their best player. Too stubborn to bet against the Dukes as a road favorite even though it was a "no duh" bet. Grant must have never learned or been coached on how to drive to the basket hard and create contact. Think a lot of his coaches including this one didn't know how to teach this or make him realize how much that would have helped his game and team. Williams, not sure what he brings, but just a lot of frustration. Reece one of those guys you want to be tough, but just not in his DNA. Rotroff no matter how tired should play 25 minutes in a game, even when tired he's better and gives much more effort than Reece or Williams even when fresh. Give me guys who battle. Clark will be playing for a power 5 school next year, no doubt. The defense outside of Clark and Rotroff is just deplorable. Stop playing the two 5-7 guys at the same time. It's pretty brutal to watch and just ridiculous when you go ten deep.

 

1/28/2023 5:09 pm  #9


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Dae DAE  Ney Ney. It’s getting old. No Aaron Jackson.

 

1/28/2023 5:17 pm  #10


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Grant is dissappointing,

 

1/28/2023 5:21 pm  #11


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Have to get it together now. 7-0 Umass run 12 point deficit. Ugh.

 

1/28/2023 5:22 pm  #12


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Another season down the toilet.  👎🏼

 

1/28/2023 5:22 pm  #13


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Mass. Leading scorer and 2 starters are out today.

 

1/28/2023 5:24 pm  #14


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

FAM wrote:

Mass. Leading scorer and 2 starters are out today.

Fernandes has only played 11 games this season
 

 

1/28/2023 5:24 pm  #15


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

The frustrating part is we started this game great. Refs took the steam out of our sails early. But we have to respond better than this. We should expect that by now. If not, we are being naive. We need to make our open looks and our layups. Stop giving up second chance points. We’ll make a run, I know it.

 

1/28/2023 5:29 pm  #16


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Grant really needed one of those 3s to drop. At least he had a good pass to Gunn for the dunk after those plays

 

1/28/2023 5:39 pm  #17


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

We need to rebound and make free throws. Rozier is the reason this is almost close.

 

1/28/2023 5:40 pm  #18


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Rebounds are killing us. I don’t even want to know the second chance points statistic. We are getting bullied.

 

1/28/2023 5:52 pm  #19


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

CityDuke wrote:

The frustrating part is we started this game great. Refs took the steam out of our sails early. But we have to respond better than this. We should expect that by now. If not, we are being naive. We need to make our open looks and our layups. Stop giving up second chance points. We’ll make a run, I know it.

Started the game OK, but this team is a way too soft. Afraid of creating contact which is basketball 101 when driving to the hoop and way too lax when it comes to boxing out or playing in your face defense. Those habits pretty much set the tone. The refs see it. The refs know the Dukes are not a tough team and that their coach is not a good one, so they never give them the benefit of the doubt. There's no run that's gonna result in a win for this team. Need a reputable hard nosed coach that reflects the team and gains a bit of respect from the refs. Pretty simple.
 

 

1/28/2023 5:52 pm  #20


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Horrendous defense.

 

1/28/2023 5:53 pm  #21


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

How many three pointers will we end up taking? The announcer had a good word at describing it, "Chucking"

 

1/28/2023 5:58 pm  #22


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Cant wait to hear the press conference lol

 

1/28/2023 6:02 pm  #23


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

This team hasn't quit. These foul calls are insane.

 

1/28/2023 6:05 pm  #24


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

I absolutely love the fight in this team. If only we got a fair whistle. Ever.

 

1/28/2023 6:07 pm  #25


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (A)

Luis with his 5th uncalled travel of the day. Instead they give a phantom call to Grant?

 

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