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2/28/2023 11:05 am  #1


Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

7:00pm EST tip on Wednesday 03/01/2023 at the UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, Pittsburgh, PA

Virtual Game Program: https://indd.adobe.com/view/bb0e0f17-26d2-4749-b232-18cf0ca8a6c1

Previous Meeting at UMass on 1/28/23 - UMass 87 - Dukes 79

Per KenPom (363 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #106 (19-10; 9-7 A-10) vs University of Massachusetts Minutemen #197 (14-14; 5-11 A-10)
Game prediction: Dukes win by 9, 79-70 - Dukes with a 79% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=5405

Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #89 vs UMass #196
Game prediction:  Dukes win by 11, 78.26-67.33
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=249&tid2=4391&neut=0

Betting line: Dukes are 8½ point favorites; Over/Under 147½
Duquesne 17-12 Against the Spread: UMass 12-15-1 ATS

Duquesne Game Notes: https://goduquesne.com/news/2023/2/28/mens-basketball-preview-duquesne-vs-umass.aspx
UMass Game Notes: https://umassathletics.com/news/2023/2/28/mens-basketball-mens-hoops-set-for-regular-season-road-finale-at-duquesne

Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/men/2023.html
UMass: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/massachusetts/men/2023.html

Dukes KenPom Best Wins: VCU (74); Indiana St. (97); UCSB (114); Colgate (117); George Mason (141); DePaul (145); Ball St. (152)
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses: UMass (197); New Mexico St (185); St. Bonaventure (184); Richmond (159); Fordham (147); Davidson (136); Marshall (79); Dayton (72)
UMass KenPom Best Wins: Colorado (56); Hofstra (91); Saint Louis (103); Duquesne (106); Charlotte (113)
UMass KenPom Worst Losses: Loyola Chicago (257); La Salle-2 (228); George Washington (217); Saint Joseph's (214); St. Bonaventure (184)

Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point:  Offense 37.2%, 32 in D-1; Defense 35.0%, 246 in D-1
UMass 3 Point:  Offense 33.9%, 186 in D-1; Defense 32.6%, 94 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point:  Offense 49.0%, 235 in D-1; Defense 48.3%, 94 in D-1
UMass 2 Point:  Offense 45.7%, 333 in D-1; Defense 50.8%, 205 in D-1
Dukes FT:  Offense 68.6%, 289 in D-1; Defense 68.2%, 36 in D-1
UMass FT:  Offense 71.0%, 210 in D-1; Defense 70.1%, 104 in D-1


Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
UMass Adj Offense Efficiency - 102.7; 238 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 103.8; 132 in D-1
UMass Adj Defense Efficiency - 104.6; 147 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 109.9; 95 in D-1
UMass Adj Tempo - 70.7; 38 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 68.2; 146 in D-1

Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
D-1 Experience - UMass 1.76 yrs; 214 in D-1; Dukes 2.15 yrs; 136 in D-1
Average Height - UMass 77.5"; 109 in D-1; Dukes 76.0"; 332 in D-1

 

2/28/2023 11:25 am  #2


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Lets try to defend Luis this time.   He averages 11 ppg, scored 31 vs us earlier this year.   Defense will win this game.   It might be high scoring, but defense will matter.

Fun week in the A10 starts tonight with St Lou at VCU, on CBSSN, and LaSalle at Dayton.

 

2/28/2023 12:09 pm  #3


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

If the program has truly moved forward this game has to be a lay-up for the Dukes.  They cannot come out and get beat.  If the shots aren't falling then they must find another way to win.  There has already been too many unacceptable losses this season.  Any given year you have to expect to lose a game or 2 that you were supposed to win by a relatively big margin.  Upsets happen - any team should be afforded the latitude to slip up.  And when you are the Dukes, you are afforded even more latitude.  But we have hit our ceiling of acceptable missteps this season.  This is a bottom feeder and we have them at home.  We already let them beat us once.  Absolutely no excuse to lose this one.  none

 

2/28/2023 12:57 pm  #4


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Styles1229 wrote:

If the program has truly moved forward this game has to be a lay-up for the Dukes.  They cannot come out and get beat.  If the shots aren't falling then they must find another way to win.  There has already been too many unacceptable losses this season.  Any given year you have to expect to lose a game or 2 that you were supposed to win by a relatively big margin.  Upsets happen - any team should be afforded the latitude to slip up.  And when you are the Dukes, you are afforded even more latitude.  But we have hit our ceiling of acceptable missteps this season.  This is a bottom feeder and we have them at home.  We already let them beat us once.  Absolutely no excuse to lose this one.  none

You are correct & have expressed the program's state very well.

 

2/28/2023 10:52 pm  #5


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Early on in his time here at Duquesne Dambrot brought in the sports psychologist to help change the attitude. But I question if it isn’t himself that needs to believe he can change the dynamic. The Dukes came out tight and flat against Davidson while knowing for days this would be one of the biggest crowds at the Coop. It’s time for Dambrot to step up his game and give his team its best opportunity to win. 

 

3/01/2023 9:47 am  #6


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

His team came out not being able to put the ball in the ocean.   Had 2 of their shots gone in early in the first half, it could have changed the whole game.  You cant blame the coach for not making open shots.

Of course 93.7 still treating us like Rodney Dangerfield, says Duquesne plays UMass in the A10 tournament tonight.   At least they mentioned we play.   Its all pitt or penguins all the time on that station.   Why I listen, IDK.   Habit I guess, morning routine, need to change that.

Last edited by townsonkid (3/01/2023 9:47 am)

 

3/01/2023 3:24 pm  #7


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

townsonkid wrote:

His team came out not being able to put the ball in the ocean.   Had 2 of their shots gone in early in the first half, it could have changed the whole game.  You cant blame the coach for not making open shots.

Of course 93.7 still treating us like Rodney Dangerfield, says Duquesne plays UMass in the A10 tournament tonight.   At least they mentioned we play.   Its all pitt or penguins all the time on that station.   Why I listen, IDK.   Habit I guess, morning routine, need to change that.

True and they do wander off the topic of sports a little too much for me, but I guess that's a minor point.

 

3/01/2023 3:57 pm  #8


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

I agree with all the opinions and points expressed in this thread. Tonight is a huge game! Win this one and hope springs eternal. Lose this one and the black cloud begins to form over the program.
I believe they will win it big but any win I will take. Just WIN!
Go Dukes

 

3/01/2023 4:03 pm  #9


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

I just saw that the line was up to 11½.  Some wise guys are putting some sizable cash on the Dukes.

     Thread Starter
 

3/01/2023 4:16 pm  #10


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

This UMass team is tanking bad. In February they are 1-6, losing three at home and three on the road.  This would be a devastating loss for the Dukes. I think Frank Martin has lost this team and it would be embarrassing if he righted the troops against us.

 

3/01/2023 4:25 pm  #11


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Motor wrote:

I agree with all the opinions and points expressed in this thread. Tonight is a huge game! Win this one and hope springs eternal. Lose this one and the black cloud begins to form over the program.
I believe they will win it big but any win I will take. Just WIN!
Go Dukes

Check your private messages.
 

 

3/01/2023 5:16 pm  #12


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Relax,
The Dukes will get the win tonight and go to 20-wins total and 10 in the A-10.  No small accomplishment after last season. 
 

 

3/01/2023 5:30 pm  #13


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

levon1975 wrote:

Relax,
The Dukes will get the win tonight and go to 20-wins total and 10 in the A-10.  No small accomplishment after last season. 
 

I would shudder to think that you are wrong!!

 

3/01/2023 6:41 pm  #14


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Someone on A10 board wondered if Fernandes was playing tonight.

 

3/01/2023 7:26 pm  #15


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Dixon is that guy!   Does it all.

 

3/01/2023 7:45 pm  #16


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

David. Dixon.

 

3/01/2023 7:52 pm  #17


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Nice half. Need to build on this in second half, Don't let them back in the game.

 

3/01/2023 7:56 pm  #18


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Good half. Need to stay disciplined even if Umass isn’t. We got a little loose at times in that half, but corrected it. Maybe I have my Duquesne blinders on, but I feel like we got a strange whistle again in that half…an unfortunate trend of this season. Would love to see Dambrot earn a technical to set the tone going into the tourney. Love seeing Clark back at his best! And Dixon!! Wow.

 

3/01/2023 8:00 pm  #19


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Halftime- G.Mason 23-14 over Fordham.  Fordham 3-29 FG

 

3/01/2023 8:17 pm  #20


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Lost 9 pts. off lead in 4 minutes. At this pace we lose by 30 plus.

 

3/01/2023 8:18 pm  #21


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Grant is off tonight. Should be up by 20 at this point. Not sure why Dambrot constantly pulls Dixon. He doesn't look the least bit tired. Going to need more of Dixon and Rotroff and a little less of Williams and Reese if the Dukes are to make a run come tournament time. 

 

3/01/2023 8:19 pm  #22


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Oh no, another half of misery???

 

3/01/2023 8:20 pm  #23


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Strange whistle confirmed. So frustrating. We don’t have to earn respect, we’ve tried. We clearly have to take it.

 

3/01/2023 8:33 pm  #24


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

Another experienced coach at the head of a bad team changes up his defense & as usual, KD does not have his team prepared for it  in any way. Heaven forbid he call a timeout to discuss what is happening! This crap usually flies against the bad teams.

 

 

3/01/2023 8:41 pm  #25


Re: Game Thread - University of Massachusetts Minutemen (H)

phil95 wrote:

Another experienced coach at the head of a bad team changes up his defense & as usual, KD does not have his team prepared for it  in any way. Heaven forbid he call a timeout to discuss what is happening! This crap usually flies against the bad teams.

 

We’ve shredded this token pressure. Just missing open shots to start the half. The lack of stops is the reason umass clawed back.

 

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