Duquesne Dukes Fan Forum / Game Thread - St. Bonaventure University Bonnies (H)

**Posted by PhoenixRising2** 1/22/2024 6:08 pm

7:00pm EST tip on Tuesday 1/23/2024 at the UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, Pittsburgh, PA

Betting line: Dukes are 3½ point favorites; Over/Under 142½ (as of 12:30pm, line has dropped to Dukes are 1½ point favorites; Over/Under 141½)
Duquesne 5-11 Against the Spread: St. Bonaventure 8-9 ATS

NET Ranking: Dukes 100; St. Bonaventure 75

Per KenPom (362 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #105 (9-8; 0-5 A10) vs St. Bonaventure #86 (11-6; 2-3 A10)
Game prediction: Dukes win by 1, 72-71 - Dukes with 55% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=3455
Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #115 vs St. Bonaventure #62
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 2, 71.37-69.86
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=381&tid2=4391&neut=0
Per BartTorvik:
Dukes #101 vs St. Bonaventure #71
Game prediction: Dukes win by 1, 71-70 - Dukes with a 55% probability of a win.
https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Duquesne&year=2024
Duquesne Preview: https://goduquesne.com/news/2024/1/22/mens-basketball-duquesne-opens-three-game-homestand-tuesday.aspx Duquesne Game Notes: https://goduquesne.com/documents/2024/1/22/18_St._Bonaventure.pdf St. Bonaventure Game Notes: https://gobonnies.com/news/2024/1/22/bonnies-wrap-road-swing-at-duquesne-tuesday.aspx
Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/men/2024.html St. Bonaventure: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/st-bonaventure/men/2024.html
Dukes KenPom Best Wins: UC Irvine (74); Bradley (75); College of Charleston (129); Saint Peter's (185)
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses: Loyola Chicago (119); Santa Clara (116); UMass (97); Saint Joseph's (89); Richmond (83); Princeton (50); Nebraska (49)
St. Bonaventure KenPom Best Wins: Akron (92); VCU (98); Oklahoma St. (115); Longwood (166); Rhode Island (193)
St. Bonaventure KenPom Worst Losses: Canisius (244); Fordham (199); George Mason (100); Richmond (83); Florida Atlantic (26); Auburn (5)

Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point: Offense 33.5%, 186 in D-1; Defense 35.1%, 257 in D-1
St. Bonaventure 3 Point: Offense 37.2%, 33 in D-1; Defense 30.7%, 42 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point: Offense 49.4%, 215 in D-1; Defense 48.7%, 109 in D-1
St. Bonaventure 2 Point: Offense 52.5%, 100 in D-1; Defense 52.3%, 258 in D-1
Dukes FT: Offense 70.5%, 221 in D-1; Defense 70.4%, 132 in D-1
St. Bonaventure FT: Offense 78.8%, 5 in D-1; Defense 68.3%, 48 in D-1

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
St. Bonaventure Adj Offense Efficiency - 112.6; 79 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 103.9; 111 in D-1
St. Bonaventure Adj Defense Efficiency - 103.0; 94 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 110.4; 116 in D-1
St. Bonaventure Adj Tempo - 66.2; 276 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 67.7; 206 in D-1

Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
Experience - St. Bonaventure 3.57 yrs; 1 in D-1; Dukes 2.61 yrs; 39 in D-1
Average Height - St. Bonaventure 77.3"; 147 in D-1; Dukes 76.2"; 325 in D-1

Last edited by PhoenixRising2 (1/23/2024 12:46 pm)

**Posted by luckymcd** 1/22/2024 6:40 pm

This probably won’t look anything like a typical Dukes-Bonnies game. Unfortunately I think the result will be the same as most of the recent ones. I really appreciate these preview’s Phoenix. Sadly I’ve had the same feeling the last few games. The algorithms are giving the Dukes too much respect. As always, I hope I’m wrong though.

**Posted by phil95** 1/22/2024 6:49 pm

Has anyone read/heard if Dae Dae will be available?

**Posted by CLK** 1/22/2024 7:26 pm

NEWS FLASH: The season is not over. I am going to continue to root for and believe in this team and this coach. My advice to the team is to believe in yourself and each other and tune out those who don't believe in you. Time to start kicking ass and taking names! GO DUKES!

**Posted by NapaDuke** 1/23/2024 8:04 am

CLK wrote:
NEWS FLASH: The season is not over. I am going to continue to root for and believe in this team and this coach. My advice to the team is to believe in yourself and each other and tune out those who don't believe in you. Time to start kicking ass and taking names! GO DUKES!

Your right. There is a lot of games left. If they just figure out the right combo of players they just might get some wins. I hope they do that because these last 5 games are disappointing.

**Posted by townsonkid** 1/23/2024 9:09 am

i paid for espn+, so I will watch, just wondering what way the Dukes will invent to lose. Seems we are in every game as of late, but fumble away the chance for the W.
Part of me wants Grant's 15 ppg back, part of me wants to see more Hronsky, Necas, Nichols and DiMichele.

**Posted by FAM** 1/23/2024 9:27 am

The MOST OBNOXIOUS FANS in the A10 will be here tonight. Stew, we may need a No Super Bowls for Buffalo chant!!

**Posted by indygjm** 1/23/2024 9:42 am

FAM wrote:
The MOST OBNOXIOUS FANS in the A10 will be here tonight. Stew, we may need a No Super Bowls for Buffalo chant!!

A better chant would be "WIDE RIGHT!"

**Posted by FAM** 1/23/2024 9:49 am

You are brilliant!!!

Great - WIDE RIGHT!!!!!

Go Dukes!!!

**Posted by NapaDuke** 1/23/2024 10:41 am

FAM wrote:
You are brilliant!!!

Great - WIDE RIGHT!!!!!

Go Dukes!!!

Yep. Wide right should do it!

**Posted by PistolPete** 1/23/2024 10:51 am

I agree with Townson and would also like to see more Hronsky, Necas and Nicols. DiMichele has played well, but doesn't it say something about talent evaluation that a walk-in is better than your scholarship players? KD's insistence on short point guards is just so puzzling. None of these guys are Calvin Murphy and someone posted Rozier's over-all stats on another thread and my recollection is that they were not impressive. Rozier is a great kid and a good leader, but ask yourselves, is he a quality A-10 level PG (defense, shooting, passing etc.)? And now we sign another 5'9" PG for next year, maybe i am wrong, but I just don't get it.

**Posted by BluffHunter** 1/23/2024 11:38 am

The top 5 lineups this year by minutes with NET ratings and stats:

https://x.com/a10stats/status/1749832362907607437?s=46

Our most common lineup has a horrible rating but Savrasov hasn’t been seen in a while. Also worth noting that the most common lineup has only played 60 minutes together total… out of the hundred or so combinations we have probably tried the most common having that little amount of time together says a lot about Dambrot not figuring out rotations yet. Most of the other A10 schools most common lineups have played 150+ minutes together already.

Last edited by BluffHunter (1/23/2024 11:38 am)

**Posted by stew** 1/23/2024 11:55 am

I cant make it tonight,deflated by the losses,bad weather and wife not feeling well.Hopefully DUkes win ,
its tough driving 6 hours and driving home with another loss.

**Posted by Ironduke81** 1/23/2024 12:44 pm

stew wrote:
I cant make it tonight,deflated by the losses,bad weather and wife not feeling well.Hopefully DUkes win ,
its tough driving 6 hours and driving home with another loss.

Stew you are the only bright spot this year for the Dukes👍

**Posted by FAM** 1/23/2024 1:03 pm

Stew, we will miss you. Maybe the AD will take off his shirt and cheer?
U never know.

**Posted by NapaDuke** 1/23/2024 3:40 pm

PistolPete wrote:
I agree with Townson and would also like to see more Hronsky, Necas and Nicols. DiMichele has played well, but doesn't it say something about talent evaluation that a walk-in is better than your scholarship players? KD's insistence on short point guards is just so puzzling. None of these guys are Calvin Murphy and someone posted Rozier's over-all stats on another thread and my recollection is that they were not impressive. Rozier is a great kid and a good leader, but ask yourselves, is he a quality A-10 level PG (defense, shooting, passing etc.)? And now we sign another 5'9" PG for next year, maybe i am wrong, but I just don't get it.

I think you are right on. The Dukes are losing and that is the bottom line. A 6'2" point guard has nearly a foot vertical advantage in reach than a 5'9". Things like that add up. No real transition game and over depending on an inside game also contribute to a lower chance of winning. It's been KD's style of play all seven years.

**Posted by El Presidente** 1/23/2024 3:49 pm

I'm looking for another very close game but hoping for a better outcome than the last 2-point losses.
Hoping Dusan can get his game going just a bit as the season wears on. Do like Hronsky and Necas seeing a bit more court time. If Rozier was 6-0 tall I would have little problem with him playing as much as he is but he's not and I do. GO DUKES!!!

**Posted by WashPaRick** 1/23/2024 4:32 pm

No one I'd rather beat in the conference. Hope the ref's hose them good.

**Posted by PhoenixRising2** 1/23/2024 6:53 pm

No Dae Dae again.

**Posted by CityDuke** 1/23/2024 7:53 pm

Absolute defensive masterclass by the Dukes in the first half. Now that was fun to watch! Whoever said offense sells tickets, clearly hasn’t watched that defense by our DUKES!

**Posted by indygjm** 1/23/2024 7:54 pm

This is like a football game.

**Posted by CityDuke** 1/23/2024 9:03 pm

Imagine getting hit by two elbows in quick succession AND being called for a foul. Poor Kareem LOL!

**Posted by townsonkid** 1/23/2024 9:07 pm

This is embarrassing.

Wow. Or yikes might be better.
At least its a W. Ugly, but a W.

Last edited by townsonkid (1/23/2024 9:18 pm)

**Posted by CityDuke** 1/23/2024 9:09 pm

Make layups!

**Posted by CityDuke** 1/23/2024 9:15 pm

Absolutely fantastic performance by the Dukes for the first 35 minutes. FANTASTIC. Sure looked like Dambrot out chessed Schmidt by a landslide in this one. Outstanding defensive performance by the Dukes. If we keep that same energy and effort on that end we will be what we should be.

Sidenote, we sure miss Grant’s composure and free throw shooting down the stretch.