Duquesne Dukes Fan Forum / Game Thread - Saint Louis University Billikens (A10 Tourney)

**Posted by PhoenixRising2** 3/12/2024 8:32 pm

7:30pm EDT tip on Wednesday 3/13/2024 at the Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY

Betting line: Dukes are 8½ point favorites; Over/Under 146½
Duquesne 14-16 Against the Spread: Saint Louis 12-18-1 ATS

NET Ranking: Dukes 98; Saint Louis 193

Per KenPom (362 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #100 (20-11; 10-8 A10) vs Saint Louis #195 (13-19; 5-13 A10)
Game prediction: Dukes win by 7, 78-71 - Dukes with 74% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=6022
Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #104 vs Saint Louis #181
Game prediction: Dukes win by 6, 77.05-70.74
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=4391&tid2=301&neut=1
Per BartTorvik:
Dukes #95 vs Saint Louis #177
Game prediction: Dukes win by 7, 78-71 - Dukes with a 74% probability of a win.
https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Duquesne&year=2024
Duquesne Preview: https://goduquesne.com/news/2024/3/12/mens-basketball-dukes-open-a-10-championship-vs-billikens.aspx Duquesne Game Notes: https://goduquesne.com/documents/2024/3/12/32_A-10_Second_Round.pdf Saint Louis Game Notes: https://slubillikens.com/news/2024/3/13/mens-basketball-mbb-preview-billikens-dukes-clash-in-a-10-second-round.aspx

Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne:https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/men/2024.html Saint Louis:https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/Saint-Louis/men/2024.html
Dukes KenPom Best Wins: Bradley (66); UC Irvine (73); VCU (84); George Mason (95); St.Bonaventure-2 (96); College of Charleston (99); Saint Joseph's (104); Stony Brook (170); Cleveland St. (188)
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses: Fordham (190); Davidson (124); Santa Clara (113); Saint Joseph's (104); Loyola Chicago (94); UMass (83); Richmond (80); Princeton (58)

Saint Louis KenPom Best Wins: Louisiana Tech (90); Saint Bonaventure (96); Saint Joseph's (104); Hofstra (115); Wyoming (154); Illinois St (180); La Salle (199)
Saint Louis KenPom Worst Losses: Fordham (190); Wichita St (159); Davidson (124); Southern Illinois (122); Vermont (103); Duquesne (100); George Mason (95); Loyola Chicago-2 (94)

Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point: Offense 33.2%, 210 in D-1; Defense 32.3%, 78 in D-1
Saint Louis 3 Point: Offense 36.3%, 52 in D-1; Defense 36.4%, 327 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point: Offense 50.0%, 192 in D-1; Defense 48.4%, 89 in D-1
Saint Louis 2 Point: Offense 49.5%, 217 in D-1; Defense 53.9%, 323 in D-1
Dukes FT: Offense 71.7%, 198 in D-1; Defense 69.9%, 70 in D-1
Saint Louis FT: Offense 75.6%, 52 in D-1; Defense 73.5%, 281 in D-1

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
Saint Louis Adj Offense Efficiency - 111.6; 91 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 99.6; 42 in D-1
Saint Louis Adj Defense Efficiency - 114.4; 334 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 107.1; 164 in D-1
Saint Louis Adj Tempo - 69.5; 80 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 66.7; 245 in D-1

Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
Experience - Saint Louis 2.00 yrs; 152 in D-1; Dukes 2.56 yrs; 47 in D-1
Average Height - Saint Louis 76.7"; 252 in D-1; Dukes 76.5"; 289 in D-1

Last edited by PhoenixRising2 (3/13/2024 5:44 pm)

**Posted by BluffHunter** 3/13/2024 8:44 am

Today is the day!!! Go Dukes!

**Posted by PhoenixRising2** 3/13/2024 11:30 am

Sincere Parker will not be available to the Billikens. One less offensive thread to worry about.

https://x.com/studurando/status/1767654539891445846

Last edited by PhoenixRising2 (3/13/2024 12:48 pm)

**Posted by phil95** 3/13/2024 12:20 pm

Based on yesterday, I assumed he wouldn't play . This is at least the 4th straight opponent for the Dukes that will be missing an important
piece. I wish Sincere nothing but good fortune but I'll take just about any advantage that is available.

PhoenixRising2 wrote:
Sincere Parker will not be available to the Billikens. One leas offensive thread to worry about.

https://x.com/studurando/status/1767654539891445846

**Posted by El Presidente** 3/13/2024 12:30 pm

Don't care if no one's available for the Billikens! A win is a win. GO DUKES!!

**Posted by Styles1229** 3/13/2024 12:54 pm

In year’s past there has always been built in excuses for Dukes teams. Experience, injuries, poor seed, bad match ups, facing a hot team etc. None of that applies this year. Dukes are:

1. Very experienced (5 or more seniors)
2. Very healthy
3. Secured a bye
4. Nice match up
5. Dukes are the hot team

The Dukes have a team built to be successful in a tournament too. They play great defense and they have not one but 2 go-to guys who can take over a game. The only thing they don’t have going for them is history. That changes today.

Is it wrong of me to wish some misfortune on Daron Holmes? Nothing serious, maybe some food poisoning, or Covid exposure?

**Posted by PhoenixRising2** 3/13/2024 1:23 pm

Duquesne vs. Saint Louis Preview (A-10 Tournament): Odds, TV (pittsburghsportsnow.com)

**Posted by CityDuke** 3/13/2024 1:41 pm

Styles1229 wrote:
In year’s past there has always been built in excuses for Dukes teams. Experience, injuries, poor seed, bad match ups, facing a hot team etc. None of that applies this year. Dukes are:

1. Very experienced (5 or more seniors)
2. Very healthy
3. Secured a bye
4. Nice match up
5. Dukes are the hot team

The Dukes have a team built to be successful in a tournament too. They play great defense and they have not one but 2 go-to guys who can take over a game. The only thing they don’t have going for them is history. That changes today.

Is it wrong of me to wish some misfortune on Daron Holmes? Nothing serious, maybe some food poisoning, or Covid exposure?

Need to contain Jimerson and I like our chances.

Maybe Holmes will catch a bad case of seasonal allergies! LOL

**Posted by stew** 3/13/2024 2:18 pm

I am sure a lot of these boneheads wlll be poised and ready to add their negative remarks after happily
gloating over losing to St.Louis tonight.Sorry get on the Pitt board and go complain and whine about your cowardly Panthers cause tonight DUKES win.Lets go Bluffites,time for Dukes haters to take night off.

**Posted by WashPaRick** 3/13/2024 6:49 pm

Couldn't ask for a better start.

**Posted by DuqLaw95** 3/13/2024 6:51 pm

Loving what I’m seeing so far. Dukes need to keep this intensity up the whole game!

**Posted by DuqLaw95** 3/13/2024 7:14 pm

Terrible free throw shooting.

**Posted by CityDuke** 3/13/2024 7:25 pm

Well Phil, I think you may have jinxed it. This is whistle city! Calling a much tighter game than any tournament game I’ve watched to this point. Fairly consistent for the most part.

**Posted by WashPaRick** 3/13/2024 7:29 pm

Got to play better defense in second half.

**Posted by Rayrich** 3/13/2024 7:29 pm

Better rebound better and make our foul shots in the second half or its another one and done.

Last edited by Rayrich (3/13/2024 7:33 pm)

**Posted by Rayrich** 3/13/2024 7:35 pm

DuqLaw95 wrote:
Terrible free throw shooting.

2-7 isn't going to get it done especially when you shoot half of the amount of free throws as the other team.

**Posted by PhoenixRising2** 3/13/2024 7:40 pm

Not looking for style points here; just survive and advance. Defense broke down after Clark picked up his 2nd foul- Dukes gave up 25 points in the last 10 minutes of the half.

**Posted by DuqLaw95** 3/13/2024 7:44 pm

Let’s go Clark! Great start to the second half.

**Posted by CityDuke** 3/13/2024 8:12 pm

Refs doing everything they can to keep this close. Billikens up to 22 free throws. We have shot a lot less but we keep missing them. Need Clark back in asap.

Grant making his frustrations with the official known just before the timeout. Stay in the game Dukes! Control the controllables.

Last edited by CityDuke (3/13/2024 8:16 pm)

**Posted by WashPaRick** 3/13/2024 8:17 pm

Announcer asked if 4 for 13 from the line is going to come back and haunt us. It's already haunting us.

**Posted by CityDuke** 3/13/2024 8:21 pm

Man, I am going to miss Clark when he is gone. He is absolutely electric! The Pittsburgh Stealer can strike at any moment!

**Posted by Rayrich** 3/13/2024 8:31 pm

Much better second half so far. Put this one away and on to Dayton.

**Posted by Rayrich** 3/13/2024 8:33 pm

Going to be a long night for Flyers fans tomorrow. We got this!

**Posted by WashPaRick** 3/13/2024 8:35 pm

Wearing them out.

**Posted by StillatShales** 3/13/2024 8:39 pm

Clean up the FTs tommorow, and if we play like this, we can beat Dayton. And I hope the refs don't call everything and let them play.