Final "On The Record" predictions

CLK 27
Econ69 22
kcc173  23
DuqTubaKid  23
scduke  23
VBC  28
FAM 23
JudgeJack  25
duq81  22
KenOTR73  19
wharfrat  22
Dsnyder15  24
IronDukes12  27
Bilgy  18
1111Vickroy  24
PistolPete  24
mm76or99  19
NapaDuke  19
WashPaRick  21
MikeR  26
Duques102  26
theprofessor1099  21
AKDukes  20
The Dome  21
phil95  25
Box SkepticAl  20
Ironduke81  18
HookShot  23
PhoenixRising2  23
towsonkid  19
Wildwood13  20
Jackdoc13  20
TomSpud  22
Tejas Duke  22
luckymed  20  
WEB  25
yak-rbc  23
heelsdukesfan  20
Deweyeye  24

Total posters 40, Average projected wins 22

Go Dukes!

Last edited by CLK (11/05/2019 5:03 pm)

CLK

I see two merged predictions on the list.
Box SkepticAl as 20

It should read
Box & One 18
SkepticAl 20

Thx

Final "On The Record" predictions

CLK 27
Econ69 22
kcc173  23
DuqTubaKid  23
scduke  23
VBC  28
FAM 23
JudgeJack  25
duq81  22
KenOTR73  19
wharfrat  22
Dsnyder15  24
IronDukes12  27
Bilgy  18
1111Vickroy  24
PistolPete  24
mm76or99  19
NapaDuke  19
WashPaRick  21
MikeR  26
Duques102  26
theprofessor1099  21
AKDukes  20
The Dome  21
phil95  25
Box & One  18
SkepticAl  20
Ironduke81  18
HookShot  23
PhoenixRising2  23
towsonkid  19
Wildwood13  20
Jackdoc13  20
TomSpud  22
Tejas Duke  22
luckymed  20  
WEB  25
yak-rbc  23
heelsdukesfan  20
Deweyeye  24

Total posters 40, Average projected wins 22

Go Dukes!

Someone asked for this, so I took the liberty: 

 
VBC  28
CLK 27
IronDukes12  27
MikeR  26
Duques102  26
JudgeJack  25
phil95  25
WEB  25
Dsnyder15  24
1111Vickroy  24
PistolPete  24
Deweyeye  24
kcc173  23
DuqTubaKid  23
scduke  23
FAM 23
HookShot  23
PhoenixRising2  23
yak-rbc  23
wharfrat  22
Econ69 22
duq81  22
TomSpud  22
Tejas Duke  22
WashPaRick  21
theprofessor1099  21
The Dome  21
AKDukes  20
SkepticAl  20
Wildwood13  20
Jackdoc13  20
luckymed  20  
heelsdukesfan  20
KenOTR73  19
mm76or99  19
NapaDuke  19
towsonkid  19
Bilgy  18
Box & One  18
Ironduke81  18









 

NapaDuke wrote:

I think the one unknown factor here this season is that the Dukes do not have a home court this season.  This could be a good thing, or a really bad thing.  But it certainly will be interesting to see just how they do.

Yeah, I have had the proverbial "bad feeling about this" for a long time. This season is to me the hinge on the Dambrot era. It is almost essential that the team wins over 20 games and makes some post season tourney. The idea of the team being the Flying Dutchman, going all over the place has never set well with me.
 

duq81 wrote:

The Dukes haven't had any real home court advantage since the early 70s, so I don't think it will be as much of a factor as some fear. 

The home atmosphere has been mediocre at best since I was a student beginning in 2000, but there is still a home court advantage. We've gone 129-55 in non-conference games at the Palumbo Center since it opened, and just 42-91 on the road in non-conference games in that time. That's a difference of almost 40 percent from 70.1 to 31.6. In conference games, we're 110-146 at Palumbo and 61-199 on the road for a difference of almost 20 percent (43.0 to 23.5). Looking at the results of the City Game in the short time it was a home and home shows our home court advantage too. In three games at Palumbo we lost by 30 points (an average of 10 per game). In four games at Petersen, we lost by 89 points (an average of 22 per game). 

duq81 wrote:

IronDukes12 wrote:

And it really doesn't matter how we do in the Atlantic 10 tournament.  If we finish the regular season at 25-5, we'll land an at-large bid to the Big Dance.

Our time is now.

It's important to do well this year because we'll be loaded next year. The better we do this season, the more hype, and attention we'll get during the offseason, and going into next year. When you can string a couple of great years together, it makes it more likely that your program can go on an extended run. That is what happened with Pitt under Howland. They broke through a year earlier than expected. This allowed them to sell recruits on the breakthrough season, as well as the fact that everyone was back, and that it wasn't just a flash in the pan, as they were highly ranked going into the next season. If you don't break through until you have a senior heavy class, there's no continuity, as you will fall off after losing a bunch of players to graduation. This is what happened to Loyola. If you can string a couple of elite seasons together, you can sell yourself to recruits as a powerhouse. High school kids will only have been closely following college ball for a few years, so the last 45 years won't matter. Have a couple of great years, and to them, you're a name brand school.
 

'81 - "we'll be loaded next year". Sadly, we can no longer be sure if everyone will return next year. It's a new world that creates much uncertainty for mid-major programs.

duq81 wrote:

Judge Jack McVay Jr wrote:

Love it CLK and VBC and I am optimistic too but I think I am closer to scduke and 25 wins 1 in hopefully NIT but maybe CBI and 222 points tie break

The A10 is loaded this year. If we have 24 wins at the end of the A10 Tournament, we'll make the NIT with ease. We only had 21 wins (21-12 when we got the invite) when we made it under Ron. 25 wins with one of them coming in the NIT would mean 24 wins after Brooklyn. The worst record we could have after Brooklyn with 24 wins, and not winning the A10 is 24-9 after losing the A10 Championship Game. That would not only get us into the NIT, we'd have a decent seed to boot. A loss in the semis would mean we'd have to have won 23 games in the regular season, and would leave us at 24-8. At that point, we'd be getting discussed as a bubble team, although I think we'd fall short. A loss in the quarterfinals would mean we'd have to win 24 during the regular season, and would leave us with a 24-7 record. (all of this assumes a top 4 finish, which gets us the double bye in Brooklyn, add a loss to my figures if we don't get the double bye, 12-6 got the 4th spot last year)
As for my prediction: 10-2 OOC. We don't play a single road game. If we can't win 10 games vs that slate, we're not one of the better teams in the A10.
11-7 in the A10, and 1-1 in Brooklyn for a 22-10 record, the most wins since 1962 (although the 61-62 team played fewer games, making it's 22 wins a bit more impressive).
Brooklyn points: 160
 

My prediction was 23 but it must not have sent 😕

Thanks Tejas!

gjgsr wrote:

Going out on a limb -- anticipate Dukes will win 24 plus one in the tournament for total of 25

You and Coffee are actually very late to the party with your predictions.  The contest closed on November 4th before any games were played.  While your predictions will be noted, sorry to say the contest board has ruled both you and Coffee ineligible for the fabulous Grand Prize  .
 

Last edited by CLK (12/04/2019 5:58 pm)

[b]Bilgy  18
Box & One  18
Ironduke81  18

Currently offering 100 to 1 on these three winning the prize  [/b]
 

Keep in mind that the win projections include A10 Tourney Games and Post Season Play.  Still feeling good about my 27 wins