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Final "On The Record" predictions
CLK 27
Econ69 22
kcc173 23
DuqTubaKid 23
scduke 23
VBC 28
FAM 23
JudgeJack 25
duq81 22
KenOTR73 19
wharfrat 22
Dsnyder15 24
IronDukes12 27
Bilgy 18
1111Vickroy 24
PistolPete 24
mm76or99 19
NapaDuke 19
WashPaRick 21
MikeR 26
Duques102 26
theprofessor1099 21
AKDukes 20
The Dome 21
phil95 25
Box SkepticAl 20
Ironduke81 18
HookShot 23
PhoenixRising2 23
towsonkid 19
Wildwood13 20
Jackdoc13 20
TomSpud 22
Tejas Duke 22
luckymed 20
WEB 25
yak-rbc 23
heelsdukesfan 20
Deweyeye 24
Total posters 40, Average projected wins 22
Go Dukes!
Last edited by CLK (11/05/2019 5:03 pm)
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CLK wrote:
Thanks WEB, got it. I will update the list before the game.
Can you list them high to low?? ;)
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CLK
I see two merged predictions on the list.
Box SkepticAl as 20
It should read
Box & One 18
SkepticAl 20
Thx
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Box & One wrote:
CLK
I see two merged predictions on the list.
Box SkepticAl as 20
It should read
Box & One 18
SkepticAl 20
Thx
Thanks I will fix
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Final "On The Record" predictions
CLK 27
Econ69 22
kcc173 23
DuqTubaKid 23
scduke 23
VBC 28
FAM 23
JudgeJack 25
duq81 22
KenOTR73 19
wharfrat 22
Dsnyder15 24
IronDukes12 27
Bilgy 18
1111Vickroy 24
PistolPete 24
mm76or99 19
NapaDuke 19
WashPaRick 21
MikeR 26
Duques102 26
theprofessor1099 21
AKDukes 20
The Dome 21
phil95 25
Box & One 18
SkepticAl 20
Ironduke81 18
HookShot 23
PhoenixRising2 23
towsonkid 19
Wildwood13 20
Jackdoc13 20
TomSpud 22
Tejas Duke 22
luckymed 20
WEB 25
yak-rbc 23
heelsdukesfan 20
Deweyeye 24
Total posters 40, Average projected wins 22
Go Dukes!
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Based on the FIRST Half last night - Total Wins 4 or 5
Based on the SECOND Half Last Night - Total Wins 24
Not going to "average it out"
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Someone asked for this, so I took the liberty:
VBC 28
CLK 27
IronDukes12 27
MikeR 26
Duques102 26
JudgeJack 25
phil95 25
WEB 25
Dsnyder15 24
1111Vickroy 24
PistolPete 24
Deweyeye 24
kcc173 23
DuqTubaKid 23
scduke 23
FAM 23
HookShot 23
PhoenixRising2 23
yak-rbc 23
wharfrat 22
Econ69 22
duq81 22
TomSpud 22
Tejas Duke 22
WashPaRick 21
theprofessor1099 21
The Dome 21
AKDukes 20
SkepticAl 20
Wildwood13 20
Jackdoc13 20
luckymed 20
heelsdukesfan 20
KenOTR73 19
mm76or99 19
NapaDuke 19
towsonkid 19
Bilgy 18
Box & One 18
Ironduke81 18
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Tejas_Duke wrote:
Someone asked for this, so I took the liberty:
VBC 28
CLK 27
IronDukes12 27
MikeR 26
Duques102 26
JudgeJack 25
phil95 25
WEB 25
Dsnyder15 24
1111Vickroy 24
PistolPete 24
Deweyeye 24
kcc173 23
DuqTubaKid 23
scduke 23
FAM 23
HookShot 23
PhoenixRising2 23
yak-rbc 23
wharfrat 22
Econ69 22
duq81 22
TomSpud 22
Tejas Duke 22
WashPaRick 21
theprofessor1099 21
The Dome 21
AKDukes 20
SkepticAl 20
Wildwood13 20
Jackdoc13 20
luckymed 20
heelsdukesfan 20
KenOTR73 19
mm76or99 19
NapaDuke 19
towsonkid 19
Bilgy 18
Box & One 18
Ironduke81 18
I think the one unknown factor here this season is that the Dukes do not have a home court this season. This could be a good thing, or a really bad thing. But it certainly will be interesting to see just how they do.
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NapaDuke wrote:
I think the one unknown factor here this season is that the Dukes do not have a home court this season. This could be a good thing, or a really bad thing. But it certainly will be interesting to see just how they do.
Yeah, I have had the proverbial "bad feeling about this" for a long time. This season is to me the hinge on the Dambrot era. It is almost essential that the team wins over 20 games and makes some post season tourney. The idea of the team being the Flying Dutchman, going all over the place has never set well with me.
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Tejas_Duke wrote:
NapaDuke wrote:
I think the one unknown factor here this season is that the Dukes do not have a home court this season. This could be a good thing, or a really bad thing. But it certainly will be interesting to see just how they do.
Yeah, I have had the proverbial "bad feeling about this" for a long time. This season is to me the hinge on the Dambrot era. It is almost essential that the team wins over 20 games and makes some post season tourney. The idea of the team being the Flying Dutchman, going all over the place has never set well with me.
The Dukes haven't had any real home court advantage since the early 70s, so I don't think it will be as much of a factor as some fear.
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duq81 wrote:
The Dukes haven't had any real home court advantage since the early 70s, so I don't think it will be as much of a factor as some fear.
The home atmosphere has been mediocre at best since I was a student beginning in 2000, but there is still a home court advantage. We've gone 129-55 in non-conference games at the Palumbo Center since it opened, and just 42-91 on the road in non-conference games in that time. That's a difference of almost 40 percent from 70.1 to 31.6. In conference games, we're 110-146 at Palumbo and 61-199 on the road for a difference of almost 20 percent (43.0 to 23.5). Looking at the results of the City Game in the short time it was a home and home shows our home court advantage too. In three games at Palumbo we lost by 30 points (an average of 10 per game). In four games at Petersen, we lost by 89 points (an average of 22 per game).
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luckymcd wrote:
duq81 wrote:
The Dukes haven't had any real home court advantage since the early 70s, so I don't think it will be as much of a factor as some fear.
The home atmosphere has been mediocre at best since I was a student beginning in 2000, but there is still a home court advantage. We've gone 129-55 in non-conference games at the Palumbo Center since it opened, and just 42-91 on the road in non-conference games in that time. That's a difference of almost 40 percent from 70.1 to 31.6. In conference games, we're 110-146 at Palumbo and 61-199 on the road for a difference of almost 20 percent (43.0 to 23.5). Looking at the results of the City Game in the short time it was a home and home shows our home court advantage too. In three games at Palumbo we lost by 30 points (an average of 10 per game). In four games at Petersen, we lost by 89 points (an average of 22 per game).
Lucky,
The conference game difference is notable, and is a good indicator, although the higher percentage losses in away games is of course predictable. When the Dukes play in somebody else's snake-pit, as opposed to an almost neutral (at least sometimes) Palumbo, there should be a noticeable difference.
The non-conference numbers need to viewed in light of bringing in "patsies" to Palumbo (because DU can do that,) while having to accept away games against more-competent programs. So the non-con numbers really are meaningless because of that. It's more a matter of quality of opponents than it is home-gym advantage.
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duq81 wrote:
IronDukes12 wrote:
And it really doesn't matter how we do in the Atlantic 10 tournament. If we finish the regular season at 25-5, we'll land an at-large bid to the Big Dance.
Our time is now.It's important to do well this year because we'll be loaded next year. The better we do this season, the more hype, and attention we'll get during the offseason, and going into next year. When you can string a couple of great years together, it makes it more likely that your program can go on an extended run. That is what happened with Pitt under Howland. They broke through a year earlier than expected. This allowed them to sell recruits on the breakthrough season, as well as the fact that everyone was back, and that it wasn't just a flash in the pan, as they were highly ranked going into the next season. If you don't break through until you have a senior heavy class, there's no continuity, as you will fall off after losing a bunch of players to graduation. This is what happened to Loyola. If you can string a couple of elite seasons together, you can sell yourself to recruits as a powerhouse. High school kids will only have been closely following college ball for a few years, so the last 45 years won't matter. Have a couple of great years, and to them, you're a name brand school.
'81 - "we'll be loaded next year". Sadly, we can no longer be sure if everyone will return next year. It's a new world that creates much uncertainty for mid-major programs.
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Beginning to see what Coach is saying about OOC schedule being underrated.
Columbia lost by 2 at Wake Forest. Wake Forest was losing by 4 with 1 minute left and won on a basket with 1 second left.
We play Columbia December 9.
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duq81 wrote:
Judge Jack McVay Jr wrote:
Love it CLK and VBC and I am optimistic too but I think I am closer to scduke and 25 wins 1 in hopefully NIT but maybe CBI and 222 points tie break
The A10 is loaded this year. If we have 24 wins at the end of the A10 Tournament, we'll make the NIT with ease. We only had 21 wins (21-12 when we got the invite) when we made it under Ron. 25 wins with one of them coming in the NIT would mean 24 wins after Brooklyn. The worst record we could have after Brooklyn with 24 wins, and not winning the A10 is 24-9 after losing the A10 Championship Game. That would not only get us into the NIT, we'd have a decent seed to boot. A loss in the semis would mean we'd have to have won 23 games in the regular season, and would leave us at 24-8. At that point, we'd be getting discussed as a bubble team, although I think we'd fall short. A loss in the quarterfinals would mean we'd have to win 24 during the regular season, and would leave us with a 24-7 record. (all of this assumes a top 4 finish, which gets us the double bye in Brooklyn, add a loss to my figures if we don't get the double bye, 12-6 got the 4th spot last year)
As for my prediction: 10-2 OOC. We don't play a single road game. If we can't win 10 games vs that slate, we're not one of the better teams in the A10.
11-7 in the A10, and 1-1 in Brooklyn for a 22-10 record, the most wins since 1962 (although the 61-62 team played fewer games, making it's 22 wins a bit more impressive).
Brooklyn points: 160
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Just seeing this again Duq81 meant to
Get back earlier and I hear you especially agree OOC where I think 10 to 12 OOC then win 11 or 12 in A10 and 2 tournament wins...something like that for my 25
Last edited by Judge Jack McVay Jr (11/11/2019 10:47 pm)
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My prediction was 23 but it must not have sent 😕
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coffee wrote:
My prediction was 23 but it must not have sent 😕
Corrected:
VBC 28
CLK 27
IronDukes12 27
MikeR 26
Duques102 26
JudgeJack 25
phil95 25
WEB 25
Dsnyder15 24
1111Vickroy 24
PistolPete 24
Deweyeye 24
kcc173 23
DuqTubaKid 23
scduke 23
FAM 23
HookShot 23
PhoenixRising2 23
yak-rbc 23
Coffee 23
wharfrat 22
Econ69 22
duq81 22
TomSpud 22
Tejas Duke 22
WashPaRick 21
theprofessor1099 21
The Dome 21
AKDukes 20
SkepticAl 20
Wildwood13 20
Jackdoc13 20
luckymed 20
heelsdukesfan 20
KenOTR73 19
mm76or99 19
NapaDuke 19
towsonkid 19
Bilgy 18
Box & One 18
Ironduke81 18
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Thanks Tejas!
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Going out on a limb -- anticipate Dukes will win 24 plus one in the tournament for total of 25
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gjgsr wrote:
Going out on a limb -- anticipate Dukes will win 24 plus one in the tournament for total of 25
You and Coffee are actually very late to the party with your predictions. The contest closed on November 4th before any games were played. While your predictions will be noted, sorry to say the contest board has ruled both you and Coffee ineligible for the fabulous Grand Prize .
Last edited by CLK (12/04/2019 5:58 pm)
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CLK wrote:
the fabulous Grand Prize .
I am expecting to win the fabulous Grand Prize and I look forward to spending some time in the beautiful 10th Ward.
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[b]Bilgy 18
Box & One 18
Ironduke81 18
Currently offering 100 to 1 on these three winning the prize [/b]
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Hopefully, my prediction of 19 will tie on Wednesday then be eclipsed at Dayton or. at worst. at the Bonnies.
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Keep in mind that the win projections include A10 Tourney Games and Post Season Play. Still feeling good about my 27 wins