7:00pm EST tip on Wednesday 1/3/2024 at the Mullins Center, Amherst, MA
Betting line: Dukes are 1½ point underdogs; Over/Under 155½
Duquesne 4-6 Against the Spread: UMass 8-4 ATS
NET Ranking: Dukes 77; UMass 91
Per KenPom (362 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #92 (9-3; 8-3 vs D-1) vs UMass #106 (9-3)
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 2, 79-77 - Dukes with 45% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=2515
Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #103 vs UMass #78
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 6, 81.08-75.02
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=4391&tid2=249&neut=0
Per BartTorvik:
Dukes #78 vs UMass #91
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 3, 81-78 - Dukes with a 39% probability of a win.
https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Duquesne&year=2024
Duquesne Preview: https://goduquesne.com/news/2024/1/2/mens-basketball-a-10-play-commences-at-massachusetts.aspx Duquesne Game Notes: https://goduquesne.com/documents/2024/1/2/13_UMass.pdf UMass Game Notes: https://umassathletics.com/news/2024/1/2/mens-basketball-massachusetts-faces-duquesne-in-atlantic-10-opener
Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/men/2024.html UMass: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/massachusetts/men/2024.html
Dukes KenPom Best Wins: UC Irvine (68); Bradley (121); College of Charleston (122); Cleveland St. (160)
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses: Santa Clara (123); Princeton (56); Nebraska (53)
UMass KenPom Best Wins: West Virginia (125); South Florida (143); UMass Lowell (144)
UMass KenPom Worst Losses: Harvard (189); Towson (174); Georgia Tech (112)
Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point: Offense 34.9%, 112 in D-1; Defense 35.9%, 301 in D-1
UMass 3 Point: Offense 33.2%, 182 in D-1; Defense 31.5%, 105 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point: Offense 51.1%, 149 in D-1; Defense 45.5%, 44 in D-1
UMass 2 Point: Offense 54.0%, 66 in D-1; Defense 46.7%, 72 in D-1
Dukes FT: Offense 70.9%, 192 in D-1; Defense 70.6%, 160 in D-1
UMass FT: Offense 68.6%, 259 in D-1; Defense 73.0%, 268 in D-1
Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
UMass Adj Offense Efficiency - 109.6; 81 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 102.7; 139 in D-1
UMass Adj Defense Efficiency - 103.8; 160 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 111.0; 67 in D-1
UMass Adj Tempo - 72.9; 43 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 68.2; 240 in D-1
Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
Experience - UMass 1.34 yrs; 273 in D-1; Dukes 2.75 yrs; 24 in D-1
Average Height - UMass 76.6"; 269 in D-1; Dukes 76.2"; 320 in D-1