Duquesne Dukes Fan Forum / Game Thread - George Mason University Patriots

**Posted by PhoenixRising2** 3/01/2024 8:57 pm

2:00pm EST tip on Saturday 3/2/2024 at the EagleBank Arena, Fairfax, VA

Betting line: Dukes are 3½ point underdogs; Over/Under 136½
Duquesne 12-15 Against the Spread: George Mason 15-11-1 ATS

NET Ranking: Dukes 104; George Mason 93

Per KenPom (362 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #109 (17-11; 7-8 A10) vs George Mason #98 (18-10; 7-8 A10)
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 4, 70-66 - Dukes with 36% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=5345
Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #115 vs George Mason #98
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 5, 69.54-64.66
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=4391&tid2=4511&neut=0
Per BartTorvik:
Dukes #101 vs George Mason #172
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 3, 68-65 - Dukes with a 36% probability of a win.
https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Duquesne&year=2024
Duquesne Preview: https://goduquesne.com/news/2024/3/1/mens-basketball-two-game-swing-through-virginia-concludes-road-slate.aspx Duquesne Game Notes: https://goduquesne.com/documents/2024/3/1/29_George_Mason.pdf George Mason Game Notes: https://gomason.com/news/2024/3/1/mens-basketball-patriots-return-to-fairfax-for-saturday-showdown-with-duquesne.aspx
Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne:https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/men/2024.html George Mason:https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/george-mason/men/2024.html
Dukes KenPom Best Wins: Bradley (67); UC Irvine (77); St.Bonaventure-2 (80); College of Charleston (106); Saint Joseph's (110); Saint Peter's (191)
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses: Fordham (195); Santa Clara (122); Saint Joseph's (110); Davidson (103); Loyola Chicago (97); UMass (86); Richmond (73); Princeton (62)

George Mason KenPom Best Wins: Dayton (25); St. Bonaventure (80); Davidson (103); Cornell (108); Tulane (139): Toledo (149); South Dakota St. (155)
George Mason KenPom Worst Losses: George Washington (225); Fordham (195); Saint Joseph's (110); Charlotte (105); Loyola Chicago-2 (97)

Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point: Offense 33.4%, 200 in D-1; Defense 32.4%, 96 in D-1
George Mason 3 Point: Offense 35.3%, 102 in D-1; Defense 35.6%, 293 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point: Offense 49.7%, 206 in D-1; Defense 48.3%, 87 in D-1
George Mason 2 Point: Offense 52.3%, 107 in D-1; Defense 44.5%, 10 in D-1
Dukes FT: Offense 70.2%, 253 in D-1; Defense 70.1%, 79 in D-1
George Mason FT: Offense 75.0%, 65 in D-1; Defense 72.6%, 224 in D-1

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
George Mason Adj Offense Efficiency - 111.3; 95 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 101.0; 71 in D-1
George Mason Adj Defense Efficiency - 103.9; 123 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 107.2; 169 in D-1
George Mason Adj Tempo - 64.4; 336 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 67.1; 221 in D-1

Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
Experience - George Mason 1.75 yrs; 198 in D-1; Dukes 2.55 yrs; 49 in D-1
Average Height - George Mason 77.6"; 106 in D-1; Dukes 76.4"; 296 in D-1

**Posted by CityDuke** 3/02/2024 9:31 am

Big one today. Good team at their place. This will be a challenge. But this is one we can definitely win. Need to take care of the ball, take pride in our defense, and play together. If we do those things, I predict an 8-10 point victory for our Dukes. But I would be ecstatic with any type of victory. Go Dukes!

**Posted by The Dome** 3/02/2024 9:41 am

Sadly one of the difference makers in today’s game could be a very familiar face Amari Kelley has been a very serviceable 5th year senior. City I admire your enthusiasm but having been to Mason I can’t see a Dukes win.

**Posted by NapaDuke** 3/02/2024 10:29 am

Big game. Odds are not in our favor, but it would be a big road win. Dukes are a hot and cold team. Let's hope they are hot today. Also, I think they seem to play better on Sat. games.

**Posted by Ironduke81** 3/02/2024 10:43 am

GM head coach Tony Skinn outstanding recruiter DC area. Many contacts. Fortunately for this game he is young and learning. I see Dambrot with an advantage. Go Dukes

**Posted by PhoenixRising2** 3/02/2024 10:44 am

The Dome wrote:
Sadly one of the difference makers in today’s game could be a very familiar face Amari Kelley has been a very serviceable 5th year senior. City I admire your enthusiasm but having been to Mason I can’t see a Dukes win.

It’s good to see Amari Kelly having success on the basketball court; he certainly had his share of adversity and trauma. He really has come into his own in his 6th year of CBB (he redshirted one year when he was at Duquesne due to injuries). Playing 28 minutes a game, and averaging 12 points and 6 rebounds.

**Posted by MikeR** 3/02/2024 11:09 am

The Dome wrote:
Sadly one of the difference makers in today’s game could be a very familiar face Amari Kelley has been a very serviceable 5th year senior. City I admire your enthusiasm but having been to Mason I can’t see a Dukes win.

Seems to me we recently had a win at Mason, but maybe I'm misremembering.

**Posted by DuqLaw95** 3/02/2024 11:42 am

This is the kind of game this Duquesne team has lost time and time again. I expect nothing different today.

**Posted by PhoenixRising2** 3/02/2024 12:22 pm

MikeR wrote:
The Dome wrote:
Sadly one of the difference makers in today’s game could be a very familiar face Amari Kelley has been a very serviceable 5th year senior. City I admire your enthusiasm but having been to Mason I can’t see a Dukes win.
Seems to me we recently had a win at Mason, but maybe I'm misremembering.

Over the last 10 games, the Dukes are 8-2 vs the Patriots (4-1 at home; 4-1 on the road). The last time the Dukes played at George Mason was 5 years ago; came out with a W. Here's the info from the Dukes Record Book:

GEORGE MASON Series Record:
Duquesne leads 9-6
At Pittsburgh: Duquesne leads 5-3
At Fairfax, Va.: Duquesne leads 4-3
A-10 Regular Season: Duquesne leads 7-2
A-10 Championship: 0-0 Current Streak:
Duquesne won four
Dambrot vs. George Mason: 4-0

Dec. 31, 2001 H W 64-48
Dec. 2, 2002 A L 72-79
Dec. 20, 2003 H L 70-80
Nov. 27, 2004 A L 58-79
Dec. 22, 2010 H (2OT) L 79-85
Dec. 21, 2011 A W 75-64
Feb. 8, 2014 H+ L 68-74
Mar. 8, 2014 A+ W 81-69
Jan. 31, 2015 H+ W 62-53
Jan. 22, 2016 A1+ W 86-75
Mar. 1, 2017 A+ L 62-63
Jan. 20, 2018 H+ (2OT) W 95-89
Feb. 23, 2019 A+ W 79-78
Feb. 29, 2020 H1+ W 81-78
Feb. 8, 2023 H+ W 75-52

+ Atlantic 10 game
A1 - game played at Recreation and Athletics Complex (RAC) due to an impending winter storm
H1 - at Robert Morris University UPMC Events Center

**Posted by CLK** 3/02/2024 1:20 pm

George Mason will be down both Keyshawn Hall and Ronald Polite III today against Duquesne because of ankle injuries.

**Posted by Ironduke81** 3/02/2024 2:11 pm

Does it matter. Our 4 spot is a black hole. Zero production. Hopefully, the depth of the Dukes wear them down.

**Posted by DuqLaw95** 3/02/2024 2:16 pm

No surprise here.

**Posted by townsonkid** 3/02/2024 2:19 pm

2 pts in 8 minutes. 2.
Stayed with it. Ugly game but close at half.
Women in a good one too vs St Joes.

Last edited by townsonkid (3/02/2024 3:03 pm)

**Posted by Rayrich** 3/02/2024 3:02 pm

Where is SAVRASOV?

**Posted by NapaDuke** 3/02/2024 3:04 pm

Well, that was a sloppy first half, but at least on both sides.

**Posted by Rayrich** 3/02/2024 3:12 pm

Take away the URI and USL games and Dae Dae is 13-57 from three in A-10 play Not much better in the non conference season. That's in 13 1/2 A-10 games. Not much better from two and less than 2 assists per game in those games. Like I said previously Dambrot needs to play Necas from the start while giving minutes to H Drame and Savrasov to spell Grant. Grant of course is a great foul shooter which is probably why he's in the lineup the majority of the time, and should be come crunch time when they have the lead late. Williams another bunch of zeros on the board, while Savrasov just sits. CRAZY man.

**Posted by phil95** 3/02/2024 3:47 pm

C'mon Ray. Dae Dae is by far the most offensively dangerous Duke. His shooting has been troublesome for too many games this year but he didn't score 2,000 points because he is bad.

**Posted by Rayrich** 3/02/2024 3:52 pm

phil95 wrote:
C'mon Ray. Dae Dae is by far the most offensively dangerous Duke. His shooting has been troublesome for too many games this year but he didn't score 2,000 points because he is bad.

He just threw the ball into stands again. Didn't say he was bad, but is not being used properly by this coaching staff.

**Posted by Rayrich** 3/02/2024 4:02 pm

Rayrich wrote:
phil95 wrote:
C'mon Ray. Dae Dae is by far the most offensively dangerous Duke. His shooting has been troublesome for too many games this year but he didn't score 2,000 points because he is bad.
He just threw the ball into stands again. Didn't say he was bad, but is not being used properly by this coaching staff.

Clark is their catalyst and the most dangerous Duke, but Grant isn't far behind if he's playing his A game. Clark will make 2nd or 3rd all conference, Grant doesn't deserve it, but believe me I root for him. He plays hard.

**Posted by NapaDuke** 3/02/2024 4:13 pm

Sloppy first half and second half, but a win is a win. Big win on the road. Didn't expect it. On to VCU.

**Posted by DuqLaw95** 3/02/2024 4:14 pm

Really surprised this team pulled out a win, but I’ll take it. I think DiMichele needs to see a significant decrease in minutes.

**Posted by Rayrich** 3/02/2024 4:14 pm

Ugly, but a great gritty win. Won a lot of the loose ball battles. Dixon's defense was huge in the 2nd half and shot a perfect 4-4. F Drame another solid game along with Jimmy. Beat VCU!

**Posted by StillatShales** 3/02/2024 4:16 pm

This is a big win guys... I'll have a more detailed write up later. I'm at Disney on Ice with the kids 😁😁😁

**Posted by NapaDuke** 3/02/2024 4:17 pm

DuqLaw95 wrote:
Really surprised this team pulled out a win, but I’ll take it. I think DiMichele needs to see a significant decrease in minutes.

F.Drame was a big part of this win. Dukes defense was good. GM couldn't hit a FT down the stretch. Nice suprise win on the road.

**Posted by FAM** 3/02/2024 4:22 pm

Congrats!!!!!