Duquesne Dukes Fan Forum / Game Thread - University of Dayton Flyers (A10 Tourney)

**Posted by PhoenixRising2** 3/14/2024 9:07 am

7:30pm EDT tip on Thursday 3/14/2024 at the Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY

Betting line: Dukes are 6½ point underdogs; Over/Under 146½
Duquesne 15-16 Against the Spread: Dayton 15-14-1 ATS

NET Ranking: Dukes 97; Dayton 21

Per KenPom (362 D-1 Teams):
Dukes #98 (21-11; 10-8 A10) vs Dayton #27 (24-6; 14-4 A10)
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 6, 72-66 - Dukes with 27% probability of a win.
https://kenpom.com/gameprep.php?g=6051
Per Haslametrics:
Dukes #98 vs Dayton #28
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 7, 71.52-64.21
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php?yr=&tid1=4391&tid2=4359&neut=1
Per BartTorvik:
Dukes #93 vs Dayton #35
Game prediction: Dukes lose by 5, 70-65 - Dukes with a 30% probability of a win.
https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Duquesne&year=2024
Duquesne Preview: Duquesne Game Notes: Dayton Game Notes: https://daytonflyers.com/news/2024/3/13/mens-basketball-mens-basketball-heads-to-brooklyn-for-atlantic-0-mens-basketball-championship.aspx

Sports Reference College Basketball Team Pages:
Duquesne:https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/duquesne/men/2024.html Dayton:https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/dayton/men/2024.html
Dukes KenPom Best Wins: Bradley (66); UC Irvine (73); VCU (86); George Mason (95); St.Bonaventure-2 (96); College of Charleston (100); Saint Joseph's (103); Stony Brook (171); Cleveland St. (188)
Dukes KenPom Worst Losses: Fordham (190); Davidson (122); Santa Clara (110); Saint Joseph's (103); Loyola Chicago (93); UMass (84); Richmond (81); Princeton (57)

Dayton KenPom Best Wins: St. John's (29); Cincinnati (33); SMU (64); UMass (84); VCU (86); LSU (91); St. Bonaventure (96); Duquesne-2 (98)
Dayton KenPom Worst Losses: George Mason (95); Loyola Chicago (93); VCU (86); Richmond (81); Northwestern (41); Houston (1)

Shooting Percentage Offense/Defense (per KenPom)
Dukes 3 Point: Offense 33.6%, 195 in D-1; Defense 32.5%, 97 in D-1
Dayton 3 Point: Offense 40.7%, 3 in D-1; Defense 31.7%, 53 in D-1
Dukes 2 Point: Offense 50.1%, 188 in D-1; Defense 48.4%, 92 in D-1
Dayton 2 Point: Offense 54.2%, 46 in D-1; Defense 48.2%, 82 in D-1
Dukes FT: Offense 71.1%, 222 in D-1; Defense 70.2%, 85 in D-1
Dayton FT: Offense 73.5%, 114 in D-1; Defense 73.2%, 261 in D-1

Points per Possession and Number of Possessions (per KenPom)
Dayton Adj Offense Efficiency - 119.6; 16 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Defense Efficiency - 99.6; 44 in D-1
Dayton Adj Defense Efficiency - 101.5; 80 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Offense Efficiency - 107.4; 163 in D-1
Dayton Adj Tempo - 64.3; 338 in D-1 vs Dukes Adj Tempo - 66.6; 244 in D-1

Miscellaneous (per KenPom)
Experience - Dayton 2.41 yrs; 73 in D-1; Dukes 2.56 yrs; 46 in D-1
Average Height - Dayton 76.9"; 212 in D-1; Dukes 76.5"; 287 in D-1

**Posted by townsonkid** 3/14/2024 9:13 am

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSLlZh9yelk

**Posted by NapaDuke** 3/14/2024 10:35 am

Stay loose, take the open shots, play defense and we win. Go Dukes.

**Posted by BluffHunter** 3/14/2024 2:50 pm

Staying loose is a huge point. These guys have what it takes but can’t let the moment get to them. It will be hard because I’m just a fan and I’ve been feeling nerves all day/night!

**Posted by FAM** 3/14/2024 2:51 pm

If they are good enough, and make fewer mistakes, they will win. If not...it's been a positive year. Good Luck Dukes - play well!

**Posted by luckymcd** 3/14/2024 3:25 pm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FEPYwnsRLt8

**Posted by MikeR** 3/14/2024 5:20 pm

Per Dayton board their PG Bennett is possibly out for tonight. We're definitely on a roll.

**Posted by WashPaRick** 3/14/2024 5:49 pm

MikeR wrote:
Per Dayton board their PG Bennett is possibly out for tonight. We're definitely on a roll.

I thought coach Dru said after last night's game that Bennett was going to be back tonight.

**Posted by DuqLaw95** 3/14/2024 6:37 pm

Second overtime for the Bonnies and Loyola.

**Posted by WashPaRick** 3/14/2024 6:58 pm

Let's make it 4 for 4 with the underdogs today.

**Posted by PhoenixRising2** 3/14/2024 6:58 pm

Excepting the Flyers, every fanbase in the conference should be rooting for the Dukes tonight in order to get 2 A10 teams into the tournament (and the extra dollars associated with the NCAA shares).

**Posted by MikeR** 3/14/2024 7:02 pm

WashPaRick wrote:
MikeR wrote:
Per Dayton board their PG Bennett is possibly out for tonight. We're definitely on a roll.

I thought coach Dru said after last night's game that Bennett was going to be back tonight.

He is playing.

**Posted by MikeR** 3/14/2024 7:16 pm

Not a comment on officiating, but Dayton outscored us 31-5 at the foul line in the first 2 games combined. Something to watch. We need to be able to play D without too many fouls.

Last edited by MikeR (3/14/2024 7:18 pm)

**Posted by DuqLaw95** 3/14/2024 7:30 pm

Three possession, two travels. Come on, man.

**Posted by DuqLaw95** 3/14/2024 7:37 pm

I can’t believe they called a foul on that.

**Posted by CityDuke** 3/14/2024 7:43 pm

Two garbage calls on Dixon.

**Posted by Rayrich** 3/14/2024 8:07 pm

CityDuke wrote:
Two garbage calls on Dixon.

Man this is some one sided refereeing. Dukes got to beat 8 guys. Like how Dambrot is getting the refs faces early

**Posted by WashPaRick** 3/14/2024 8:16 pm

Was hoping to be up more than 2 at the half considering how we started,
.

**Posted by CityDuke** 3/14/2024 8:17 pm

13 free throws to 4. 10 fouls to 5. Dixon, Barre, and Hronsky all with 2. Free throws keeping the Flyers in striking distance.

We did a great job on Holmes in that half. We should be up by more, but a very good defensive performance that half. Need to take better care of the ball.

**Posted by MikeR** 3/14/2024 8:18 pm

Clean up the turnovers and we're in good shape.

**Posted by KenOTR73** 3/14/2024 8:24 pm

That second one on Dixon really hurt. He's our quickest big and guaranteed Holmes will be getting the ball deep more often in the second half.

**Posted by Rayrich** 3/14/2024 8:48 pm

Dae Dae has got to step up

**Posted by DuqLaw95** 3/14/2024 8:56 pm

Wow Tre, make a layup.

**Posted by CityDuke** 3/14/2024 8:58 pm

We have held Holmes to 3 field goals…he has 17 points.

**Posted by WashPaRick** 3/14/2024 8:59 pm

DuqLaw95 wrote:
Wow Tre, make a layup.

He and Mahorcic both not finishing.